Updated

Switzerland Super League · Matchday 12

BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich

· Stadion Wankdorf, Bern

Alin prediction BSC Young Boys to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 3 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
BSC Young BoysDrawFC Zurich
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.37 vs 1.30.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — BSC Young Boys is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
BSC Young Boys1.29 Draw6.84 FC Zurich9.00

Price as of

Expected return at 1.29: -2.8% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 6 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich preview

BSC Young Boys face FC Zurich with a 76% probability of winning, while Zurich has just a 10% chance. The most likely scoreline is 3-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 3.35 for Young Boys and 1.30 for Zurich. This suggests a strong offensive performance from Young Boys.

However, there are factors that could affect this outcome. FC Zurich's recent form shows they have won 3 of their last 6 matches, which could lead to a competitive game. Additionally, both teams have a 71% chance of scoring, indicating that Zurich could find the net despite the odds. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the prediction.

BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBSC Young BoysDrawFC Zurich
Model76%13%10%
Market75%14%11%
Published75%14%11%
Edge0%0%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.37 vs 1.30.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.29, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich odds movement

Median bookmaker price on BSC Young Boys, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.

Opened 1.25Now 1.25 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
BSC Young Boys1.251.25+0.00
Draw6.606.60+0.00
FC Zurich8.628.62+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

BSC Young Boys and FC Zurich expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

3.37BSC Young Boys
1.30FC Zurich
Total expected goals
4.67
Attack rating (BSC Young Boys / FC Zurich)
1.74 / 0.98
Defence rating (BSC Young Boys / FC Zurich)
0.85 / 1.07

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 1 2.8% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5% 2 5.3% 6.9% 4.5% 2.0% 0.8% 3 6.0% 7.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.9% 4+ 11.8% 15.4% 10.0% 4.3% 1.9%

Rows: BSC Young Boys goals. Columns: FC Zurich goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 99%
Over 1.5 95%
Over 2.5 84%
Over 3.5 69%
Both teams to score
71%
No goals (0–0)
1%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2BSC Young Boys75%1.33
Draw14%7.18
FC Zurich11%9.33
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.584%1.18
Under 2.516%6.43
Both teams to scoreYes71%1.42
No29%3.41
Double chance1X (BSC Young Boys or draw)89%1.12
12 (either side)86%1.16
X2 (draw or FC Zurich)25%4.06
Handicap -1BSC Young Boys win by 2+59%1.69
Push (exactly one goal)17%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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BSC Young Boys and FC Zurich recent form

BSC Young Boys 4W 2D 0L
FC Zurich 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

BSC Young Boys at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-2-0
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
3.17
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 3.3 goals per match.

FC Zurich away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.40
Goals against / match
2.40
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.

League matches this season before kick-off: BSC Young Boys at home only, FC Zurich away only.

BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: BSC Young Boys 7 · draws 2 · FC Zurich 1.

BSC Young BoysDrawsFC Zurich
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-09-01FC Zurich2-4BSC Young BoysSwitzerland Super League
2026-03-01BSC Young Boys3-0FC ZurichSwitzerland Super League
2026-02-01BSC Young Boys3-0FC ZurichSwitzerland Super League
2025-10-26FC Zurich2-3BSC Young BoysSwitzerland Super League
2025-04-21BSC Young Boys2-1FC ZurichSuper League
2025-02-27FC Zurich2-3BSC Young BoysSchweizer Cup
2024-11-02FC Zurich0-0BSC Young BoysSuper League
2024-08-04BSC Young Boys2-2FC ZurichSuper League
2024-05-05FC Zurich0-2BSC Young BoysSuper League
2024-03-03FC Zurich1-0BSC Young BoysSuper League

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot BSC Young Boys to win Predicted score 3 – 1 C Bet on BSC Young Boys
Our pick: BSC Young Boys to win 18+ Bet Now