Updated

Switzerland Super League · Matchday 12

FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC

· Kybunpark, St. Gallen

Alin prediction FC ST. Gallen to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

6% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
FC ST. GallenDrawServette FC
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC ST. Gallen is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
FC ST. Gallen1.80 Draw4.10 Servette FC4.00

Price as of

Expected return at 1.80: -18.5% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 9 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC preview

In the match between FC ST. Gallen and Servette FC, the 1X2 probabilities show FC ST. Gallen at 45%, Servette FC at 31%, and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 6% chance. The expected goals are 1.15 for FC ST. Gallen and 1.84 for Servette FC, suggesting a competitive encounter.

Both teams to score stands at 59%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 57%. FC ST. Gallen's recent form includes 3 wins and 3 losses, while Servette FC has 5 wins and 1 loss in their last 6 matches. The head-to-head record shows 3 wins for each team and 4 draws in their last 10 meetings. A change in form or an unexpected defensive performance could impact these predictions.

FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFC ST. GallenDrawServette FC
Model23%25%53%
Market53%23%24%
Published45%24%31%
Edge-8%0%+7%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -18.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC odds movement

Median bookmaker price on FC ST. Gallen, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-25.

Opened 1.75Now 1.76 +0.01
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
FC ST. Gallen1.751.76+0.01
Draw4.054.00-0.05
Servette FC3.993.90-0.09

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

FC ST. Gallen and Servette FC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.15FC ST. Gallen
1.84Servette FC
Total expected goals
2.99
Attack rating (FC ST. Gallen / Servette FC)
0.93 / 1.25
Defence rating (FC ST. Gallen / Servette FC)
0.94 / 0.68

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.1% 8.2% 8.5% 5.2% 3.7% 1 4.7% 11.7% 9.8% 6.0% 4.2% 2 3.3% 6.1% 5.6% 3.5% 2.4% 3 1.3% 2.3% 2.2% 1.3% 0.9% 4+ 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%

Rows: FC ST. Gallen goals. Columns: Servette FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 57%
Over 3.5 35%
Both teams to score
59%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2FC ST. Gallen45%2.21
Draw24%4.22
Servette FC31%3.22
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557%1.74
Under 2.543%2.35
Both teams to scoreYes59%1.71
No41%2.41
Double chance1X (FC ST. Gallen or draw)69%1.45
12 (either side)76%1.31
X2 (draw or Servette FC)55%1.83
Handicap -1FC ST. Gallen win by 2+9%10.93
Push (exactly one goal)13%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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FC ST. Gallen and Servette FC recent form

FC ST. Gallen 3W 0D 3L
Servette FC 5W 0D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

FC ST. Gallen at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.60
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.

Servette FC away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-3
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.60
Goals against / match
1.60
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

League matches this season before kick-off: FC ST. Gallen at home only, Servette FC away only.

FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: FC ST. Gallen 3 · draws 4 · Servette FC 3.

FC ST. GallenDrawsServette FC
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-09-06Servette FC0-2FC ST. GallenSwitzerland Super League
2026-02-21Servette FC1-1FC ST. GallenSwitzerland Super League
2026-01-25FC ST. Gallen2-4Servette FCSwitzerland Super League
2025-08-02Servette FC1-4FC ST. GallenSwitzerland Super League
2025-04-06FC ST. Gallen1-0Servette FCSuper League
2025-01-18Servette FC1-1FC ST. GallenSuper League
2024-10-06FC ST. Gallen1-1Servette FCSuper League
2024-05-12FC ST. Gallen1-1Servette FCSuper League
2024-03-02Servette FC2-0FC ST. GallenSuper League
2024-01-31FC ST. Gallen0-2Servette FCSuper League

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot FC ST. Gallen to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on FC ST. Gallen
Our pick: FC ST. Gallen to win 18+ Bet Now