Updated

Switzerland Super League · Matchday 12

Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz

· Letzigrund Stadion

Alin prediction FC Vaduz to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
GrasshoppersDrawFC Vaduz
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Vaduz is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Grasshoppers2.88 Draw4.05 FC Vaduz2.48

Price as of

Expected return at 2.48: -4.7% per unit staked

Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz preview

In the upcoming match between Grasshoppers and FC Vaduz, the 1X2 probabilities show both teams at 38% to win, with a 23% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 7%.

The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams to score at 75%. Grasshoppers have an expected goals figure of 2.16, while FC Vaduz sits at 1.86. Recent form indicates Grasshoppers with a record of D-W-L-L-L-W and FC Vaduz at L-W-L-L-W-L. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceGrasshoppersDrawFC Vaduz
Model45%22%33%
Market36%24%40%
Published38%23%38%
Edge+2%0%-2%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.48, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz odds movement

Median bookmaker price on FC Vaduz, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.

Opened 2.41Now 2.30 -0.11
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Grasshoppers2.522.55+0.03
Draw3.803.90+0.10
FC Vaduz2.412.30-0.11

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Grasshoppers and FC Vaduz expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.16Grasshoppers
1.86FC Vaduz
Total expected goals
4.03
Attack rating (Grasshoppers / FC Vaduz)
1.15 / 1.14
Defence rating (Grasshoppers / FC Vaduz)
1.05 / 1.04

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.5% 2.6% 3.1% 1.9% 1.4% 1 3.1% 7.9% 6.7% 4.2% 3.0% 2 4.2% 7.8% 7.2% 4.5% 3.2% 3 3.0% 5.6% 5.2% 3.2% 2.3% 4+ 2.7% 5.0% 4.7% 2.9% 2.1%

Rows: Grasshoppers goals. Columns: FC Vaduz goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 92%
Over 2.5 77%
Over 3.5 57%
Both teams to score
75%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Grasshoppers38%2.61
Draw23%4.31
FC Vaduz38%2.60
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577%1.31
Under 2.523%4.27
Both teams to scoreYes75%1.32
No25%4.08
Double chance1X (Grasshoppers or draw)62%1.62
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or FC Vaduz)62%1.62
Handicap -1FC Vaduz win by 2+18%5.67
Push (exactly one goal)16%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Grasshoppers and FC Vaduz recent form

Grasshoppers 2W 1D 3L
FC Vaduz 2W 0D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Grasshoppers at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.40
Goals against / match
2.60
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.

FC Vaduz away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-6
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
2.50
Clean sheets
0 of 6
  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.

League matches this season before kick-off: Grasshoppers at home only, FC Vaduz away only.

Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Grasshoppers 0 · draws 0 · FC Vaduz 1.

GrasshoppersDrawsFC Vaduz
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-08-30FC Vaduz5-2GrasshoppersSwitzerland Super League

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot FC Vaduz to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on FC Vaduz