FC Luzern vs FC Sion preview
In the match between FC Luzern and FC Sion, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Sion at 44%, while FC Luzern stands at 34%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.81 for FC Luzern and 2.07 for FC Sion. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 74%, indicating a high chance of an open game.
However, FC Luzern's recent form includes 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while FC Sion has won 5 of their last 6 games. This discrepancy in form could lead to unexpected results, despite the statistical predictions favoring Sion. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.
FC Luzern vs FC Sion: model vs market
| Source | FC Luzern | Draw | FC Sion |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 23% | 44% |
| Market | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| Published | 33% | 24% | 43% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.35, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FC Luzern vs FC Sion odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Sion, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Luzern | 2.62 | 2.76 | +0.14 |
| Draw | 3.90 | 3.87 | -0.03 |
| FC Sion | 2.31 | 2.20 | -0.11 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Luzern and FC Sion expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.62
- Attack rating (FC Luzern / FC Sion)
- 1.02 / 1.21
- Defence rating (FC Luzern / FC Sion)
- 1.03 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Luzern vs FC Sion score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Luzern goals. Columns: FC Sion goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Luzern vs FC Sion goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Luzern vs FC Sion
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Luzern | 33% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.19 | |
| FC Sion | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.42 |
| No | 29% | 3.39 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Luzern or draw) | 57% | 1.74 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Sion) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Sion win by 2+ | 25% | 4.04 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Luzern and FC Sion recent form
FC Luzern
2W 1D 3L
FC Sion
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Luzern at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Sion away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Luzern at home only, FC Sion away only.
FC Luzern vs FC Sion head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: FC Luzern 0 · draws 3 · FC Sion 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | FC Sion | 3-0 | FC Luzern | Switzerland Super League |
| 2026-02-07 | FC Sion | 0-0 | FC Luzern | Switzerland Super League |
| 2026-01-24 | FC Sion | 1-1 | FC Luzern | Switzerland Super League |
| 2025-10-04 | FC Luzern | 3-3 | FC Sion | Switzerland Super League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- FC ST. Gallen v Servette FC — match page 2026-10-31
- Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- BSC Young Boys v FC Zurich — match page 2026-11-01
- FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Lausanne vs FC Thun 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- FC Luzern, previous: FC Zurich vs FC Luzern prediction
- FC Sion, previous: FC Sion vs Lausanne: odds and pick
- FC Sion, next: Lausanne vs FC Sion prediction