Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne preview
In the fixture between Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne, the 1X2 probabilities show Veres Rivne at 42% to win, compared to Obolon'-Brovar's 25%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 15% chance. Veres Rivne's stronger expected goals of 1.13 against Obolon'-Brovar's 0.82 suggests they may find the net more effectively.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction if Obolon'-Brovar improves their form, as they have drawn 3 of their last 6 matches. Additionally, both teams to score has a 39% probability, indicating that while Veres Rivne is favored, Obolon'-Brovar could still contribute to the scoreline. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne: model vs market
| Source | Obolon'-Brovar | Draw | Veres Rivne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 33% | 42% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 25% | 33% | 42% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.13 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.95
- Attack rating (Obolon'-Brovar / Veres Rivne)
- 0.60 / 0.73
- Defence rating (Obolon'-Brovar / Veres Rivne)
- 1.27 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Obolon'-Brovar goals. Columns: Veres Rivne goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 16%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Obolon'-Brovar | 25% | 4.00 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Veres Rivne | 42% | 2.41 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31% | 3.23 |
| Under 2.5 | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.55 |
| No | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Obolon'-Brovar or draw) | 58% | 1.71 |
| 12 (either side) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| X2 (draw or Veres Rivne) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Handicap -1 | Veres Rivne win by 2+ | 18% | 5.53 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne recent form
Obolon'-Brovar
0W 4D 2L
Veres Rivne
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Veres Rivne away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Obolon'-Brovar at home only, Veres Rivne away only.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Obolon'-Brovar 0 · draws 1 · Veres Rivne 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Veres Rivne | 2-0 | Obolon'-Brovar | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-10-04 | Obolon'-Brovar | 1-1 | Veres Rivne | Ukraine Premier League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Obolon'-Brovar, previous: Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR: odds and pick
- Veres Rivne, previous: Veres Rivne – Shakhtar Donetsk, 2026-10-09