Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR preview
Obolon'-Brovar faces Kryvbas KR in the Ukraine Premier League, with the model showing a 41% chance of a Kryvbas KR victory compared to 30% for Obolon'-Brovar. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with expected goals of 1.00 for Obolon'-Brovar and 1.80 for Kryvbas KR.
The market indicates a 53% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance for both teams to score. However, Obolon'-Brovar's recent form is concerning, with six matches without a win. If they can improve their attacking output, they might challenge Kryvbas KR more effectively.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR: model vs market
| Source | Obolon'-Brovar | Draw | Kryvbas KR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20% | 25% | 55% |
| Market | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Published | 30% | 29% | 41% |
| Edge | -14% | -5% | +18% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kryvbas KR below the model: +18.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.65, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Kryvbas KR, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Obolon'-Brovar | 2.83 | 2.74 | -0.09 |
| Draw | 3.26 | 3.06 | -0.20 |
| Kryvbas KR | 2.38 | 2.50 | +0.12 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Obolon'-Brovar and Kryvbas KR expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.80
- Attack rating (Obolon'-Brovar / Kryvbas KR)
- 0.60 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Obolon'-Brovar / Kryvbas KR)
- 1.27 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Obolon'-Brovar goals. Columns: Kryvbas KR goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Obolon'-Brovar | 30% | 3.33 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.48 | |
| Kryvbas KR | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| No | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Obolon'-Brovar or draw) | 59% | 1.70 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Kryvbas KR) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kryvbas KR win by 2+ | 32% | 3.13 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Obolon'-Brovar and Kryvbas KR recent form
Obolon'-Brovar
0W 4D 2L
Kryvbas KR
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kryvbas KR away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Obolon'-Brovar at home only, Kryvbas KR away only.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Obolon'-Brovar 0 · draws 1 · Kryvbas KR 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Obolon'-Brovar | 0-0 | Kryvbas KR | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-08-30 | Kryvbas KR | 2-1 | Obolon'-Brovar | Ukraine Premier League |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk — team news & stats 2026-10-09
- Chornomorets v FC Kharkiv — match page 2026-10-10
- Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — team news & stats 2026-10-10
- LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka 2026-10-11
- Dynamo Kyiv vs Karpaty 2026-10-11
- Bukovyna v Polessya — match page 2026-10-11
- Livyi Bereh v Zorya Luhansk — match page 2026-10-12