Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi preview
Kolos Kovalivka hosts Epitsentr Dunayivtsi with a 45% chance of winning according to the model 1X2 probabilities. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.12 for Kolos Kovalivka and 0.97 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. However, the match could see different outcomes if Epitsentr Dunayivtsi finds their scoring form, as both teams to score stands at 43%.
Kolos Kovalivka's recent form shows a mix of results with one win in their last six matches, while Epitsentr Dunayivtsi has two draws in their last five. The market suggests a 35% chance for Over 2.5 goals, indicating that a low-scoring match is more likely. The confidence grade is C, reflecting uncertainty in the predictions.
Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: model vs market
| Source | Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 33% | 30% |
| Market | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| Published | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Edge | -10% | +4% | +6% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.04, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Kolos Kovalivka, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kolos Kovalivka | 2.03 | 1.94 | -0.09 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.24 | -0.06 |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 3.50 | 3.84 | +0.34 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Kolos Kovalivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.09
- Attack rating (Kolos Kovalivka / Epitsentr Dunayivtsi)
- 0.92 / 0.80
- Defence rating (Kolos Kovalivka / Epitsentr Dunayivtsi)
- 1.00 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kolos Kovalivka goals. Columns: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolos Kovalivka | 45% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.38 | |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 25% | 3.93 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.31 |
| No | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kolos Kovalivka or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Epitsentr Dunayivtsi) | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kolos Kovalivka win by 2+ | 16% | 6.21 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kolos Kovalivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi recent form
Kolos Kovalivka
1W 2D 3L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kolos Kovalivka at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kolos Kovalivka at home only, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi away only.
Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Kolos Kovalivka 1 · draws 0 · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 4-0 | Kolos Kovalivka | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-08-30 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1-0 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Ukraine Premier League |
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