Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk preview
Veres Rivne hosts Shakhtar Donetsk, with the model showing a 69% chance for Shakhtar to win. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with Shakhtar's expected goals of 1.64 compared to Veres Rivne's 0.75.
While the odds suggest Shakhtar is favored, the match could be influenced by Veres Rivne's recent form, which includes two draws and a win in their last five matches. Additionally, both teams have a 44% chance of scoring, which could lead to a different outcome than expected. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk: model vs market
| Source | Veres Rivne | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16% | 27% | 58% |
| Market | 9% | 18% | 73% |
| Published | 11% | 20% | 69% |
| Edge | +7% | +8% | -15% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.75.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.30, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Shakhtar Donetsk, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-06.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Veres Rivne | 10.50 | 10.50 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 5.08 | 5.08 | +0.00 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 1.27 | 1.27 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Veres Rivne and Shakhtar Donetsk expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.39
- Attack rating (Veres Rivne / Shakhtar Donetsk)
- 0.79 / 1.43
- Defence rating (Veres Rivne / Shakhtar Donetsk)
- 0.95 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Veres Rivne goals. Columns: Shakhtar Donetsk goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Veres Rivne | 11% | 9.50 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.92 | |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.30 |
| No | 56% | 1.77 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Veres Rivne or draw) | 31% | 3.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Shakhtar Donetsk) | 89% | 1.12 | |
| Handicap -1 | Shakhtar Donetsk win by 2+ | 32% | 3.08 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Veres Rivne and Shakhtar Donetsk recent form
Veres Rivne
2W 3D 1L
Shakhtar Donetsk
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Veres Rivne at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shakhtar Donetsk away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Veres Rivne at home only, Shakhtar Donetsk away only.
Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Veres Rivne 0 · draws 2 · Shakhtar Donetsk 7.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1-0 | Veres Rivne | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-08-17 | Veres Rivne | 0-2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-04-06 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3-0 | Veres Rivne | Premier League |
| 2024-09-27 | Veres Rivne | 1-1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
| 2023-12-08 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2-0 | Veres Rivne | Premier League |
| 2023-09-26 | Veres Rivne | 0-3 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Cup |
| 2023-08-02 | Veres Rivne | 1-1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
| 2023-05-19 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2-1 | Veres Rivne | Premier League |
| 2022-11-09 | Veres Rivne | 0-2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
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