LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka: model vs market
| Source | LNZ Cherkasy | Draw | Kudrivka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 31% | 20% |
| Market | 81% | 14% | 5% |
| Published | 73% | 18% | 9% |
| Edge | -33% | +17% | +16% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.75.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.10, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update.
LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka odds movement
Median bookmaker price on LNZ Cherkasy, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| LNZ Cherkasy | 1.09 | 1.09 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 6.25 | 6.25 | +0.00 |
| Kudrivka | 19.00 | 19.00 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
LNZ Cherkasy and Kudrivka expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.05
- Attack rating (LNZ Cherkasy / Kudrivka)
- 0.65 / 0.80
- Defence rating (LNZ Cherkasy / Kudrivka)
- 0.78 / 1.55
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: LNZ Cherkasy goals. Columns: Kudrivka goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | LNZ Cherkasy | 73% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.42 | |
| Kudrivka | 9% | 11.65 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34% | 2.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.52 |
| No | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Double chance | 1X (LNZ Cherkasy or draw) | 91% | 1.09 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.23 | |
| X2 (draw or Kudrivka) | 27% | 3.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | LNZ Cherkasy win by 2+ | 23% | 4.31 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
LNZ Cherkasy and Kudrivka recent form
LNZ Cherkasy
2W 1D 3L
Kudrivka
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
LNZ Cherkasy at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Kudrivka away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: LNZ Cherkasy at home only, Kudrivka away only.
LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: LNZ Cherkasy 1 · draws 0 · Kudrivka 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Kudrivka | 1-0 | LNZ Cherkasy | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-11-29 | LNZ Cherkasy | 1-0 | Kudrivka | Ukraine Premier League |
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