Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery preview
In the USL Championship fixture between Hartford Athletic and Charleston Battery, the 1X2 probabilities show Charleston Battery at 41%, Hartford Athletic at 32%, and a draw at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score stands at 57%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 52%.
Hartford Athletic's expected goals are 1.28, compared to Charleston Battery's 1.48. Recent form indicates Hartford Athletic has drawn twice and won three times in their last six matches, while Charleston Battery has won four out of six. The head-to-head record favors Charleston Battery with 6 wins out of the last 10 encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting potential unpredictability.
Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery: model vs market
| Source | Hartford Athletic | Draw | Charleston Battery |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 28% | 41% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 32% | 28% | 41% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Hartford Athletic and Charleston Battery expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.76
- Attack rating (Hartford Athletic / Charleston Battery)
- 1.11 / 1.45
- Defence rating (Hartford Athletic / Charleston Battery)
- 0.87 / 0.78
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hartford Athletic goals. Columns: Charleston Battery goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hartford Athletic | 32% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.61 | |
| Charleston Battery | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.92 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| No | 43% | 2.33 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hartford Athletic or draw) | 59% | 1.69 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Charleston Battery) | 68% | 1.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | Charleston Battery win by 2+ | 20% | 4.92 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Hartford Athletic and Charleston Battery recent form
Hartford Athletic
3W 3D 0L
Charleston Battery
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hartford Athletic at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-6-1
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charleston Battery away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-7
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.23
- Goals against / match
- 1.69
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
- They have won 14 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hartford Athletic at home only, Charleston Battery away only.
Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Hartford Athletic 3 · draws 1 · Charleston Battery 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Charleston Battery | 1-2 | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship |
| 2025-06-14 | Hartford Athletic | 1-2 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| 2025-05-03 | Charleston Battery | 4-2 | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship |
| 2024-07-12 | Hartford Athletic | 2-2 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| 2024-05-04 | Charleston Battery | 1-0 | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship |
| 2023-06-17 | Hartford Athletic | 3-4 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| 2023-04-08 | Charleston Battery | 3-2 | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship |
| 2022-10-01 | Hartford Athletic | 6-3 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| 2022-07-17 | Charleston Battery | 3-1 | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship |
| 2021-10-26 | Hartford Athletic | 2-0 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
Other Group Stage fixtures
- Rhode Island vs Loudoun United 2026-10-14
Before and after this match
- Hartford Athletic, previous: Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic: odds and pick
- Charleston Battery, previous: Charleston Battery – Louisville City, 2026-10-10