Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic: model vs market
| Source | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Draw | Hartford Athletic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 35% | 34% |
| Market | 46% | 29% | 25% |
| Published | 42% | 31% | 27% |
| Edge | -15% | +6% | +9% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Pittsburgh Riverhounds, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 2.02 | 1.98 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.10 | +0.00 |
| Hartford Athletic | 3.56 | 3.60 | +0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Hartford Athletic expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.87
- Attack rating (Pittsburgh Riverhounds / Hartford Athletic)
- 0.70 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Pittsburgh Riverhounds / Hartford Athletic)
- 0.74 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Pittsburgh Riverhounds goals. Columns: Hartford Athletic goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 38%
- No goals (0–0)
- 17%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 42% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.27 | |
| Hartford Athletic | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29% | 3.48 |
| Under 2.5 | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38% | 2.62 |
| No | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw) | 73% | 1.38 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Hartford Athletic) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds win by 2+ | 11% | 8.80 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Hartford Athletic recent form
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1W 2D 3L
Hartford Athletic
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Pittsburgh Riverhounds at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-2-4
- Win rate
- 54%
- Goals for / match
- 1.15
- Goals against / match
- 0.77
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 13
- They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hartford Athletic away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-6-4
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 0.79
- Goals against / match
- 0.79
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Pittsburgh Riverhounds at home only, Hartford Athletic away only.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2 · draws 2 · Hartford Athletic 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Hartford Athletic | 0-0 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship |
| 2025-11-01 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0-0 | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship |
| 2025-09-20 | Hartford Athletic | 1-2 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship |
| 2025-03-22 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1-0 | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship |
Other Group Stage fixtures
- Sporting JAX v Birmingham Legion — match page 2026-10-10
- Charleston Battery vs Louisville City — team news & stats 2026-10-10
- Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies 2026-10-10
- Miami FC vs Loudoun United — team news & stats 2026-10-10
- Detroit City vs Rhode Island 2026-10-10
- El Paso Locomotive v Orange County SC — match page 2026-10-11
- New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay — team news & stats 2026-10-11
- Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights 2026-10-11