Detroit City vs Rhode Island: model vs market
| Source | Detroit City | Draw | Rhode Island |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 36% | 20% |
| Market | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Published | 41% | 31% | 28% |
| Edge | +5% | +6% | -11% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.05 vs 0.61.
- The market prices Detroit City below the model: +4.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.35, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Detroit City vs Rhode Island odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Detroit City, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit City | 2.28 | 2.30 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| Rhode Island | 3.00 | 2.95 | -0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Detroit City and Rhode Island expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.66
- Attack rating (Detroit City / Rhode Island)
- 0.89 / 0.99
- Defence rating (Detroit City / Rhode Island)
- 0.52 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Detroit City vs Rhode Island score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Detroit City goals. Columns: Rhode Island goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Detroit City vs Rhode Island goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 31%
- No goals (0–0)
- 20%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Detroit City vs Rhode Island
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Detroit City | 41% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 | |
| Rhode Island | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23% | 4.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31% | 3.24 |
| No | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Detroit City or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or Rhode Island) | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Handicap -1 | Detroit City win by 2+ | 19% | 5.40 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Detroit City and Rhode Island recent form
Detroit City
3W 2D 1L
Rhode Island
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Detroit City at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-4-1
- Win rate
- 64%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 0.36
- Clean sheets
- 9 of 14
- They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Rhode Island away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-8
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.38
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Detroit City at home only, Rhode Island away only.
Detroit City vs Rhode Island head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Detroit City 1 · draws 1 · Rhode Island 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Rhode Island | 0-0 | Detroit City | USL Championship |
| 2025-08-06 | Rhode Island | 1-0 | Detroit City | USL Championship |
| 2025-04-19 | Detroit City | 2-0 | Rhode Island | USL Championship |
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