Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC preview
In the fixture between Carabobo FC and Metropolitanos FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Carabobo FC at 37% and Metropolitanos FC at 35%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score has a 59% probability, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 54%.
Carabobo FC's recent form includes 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, while Metropolitanos FC has 4 wins and 2 draws in their last 6. The expected goals are close, with Carabobo FC at 1.44 and Metropolitanos FC at 1.39. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.
Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC: model vs market
| Source | Carabobo FC | Draw | Metropolitanos FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 27% | 35% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 37% | 27% | 35% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Carabobo FC and Metropolitanos FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.83
- Attack rating (Carabobo FC / Metropolitanos FC)
- 1.15 / 1.68
- Defence rating (Carabobo FC / Metropolitanos FC)
- 0.75 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Carabobo FC goals. Columns: Metropolitanos FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carabobo FC | 37% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 | |
| Metropolitanos FC | 35% | 2.84 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.71 |
| No | 41% | 2.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Carabobo FC or draw) | 65% | 1.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Metropolitanos FC) | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Handicap -1 | Carabobo FC win by 2+ | 18% | 5.49 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Carabobo FC and Metropolitanos FC recent form
Carabobo FC
4W 2D 0L
Metropolitanos FC
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Carabobo FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-7-0
- Win rate
- 59%
- Goals for / match
- 1.65
- Goals against / match
- 0.59
- Clean sheets
- 11 of 17
- They have won 14 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
Metropolitanos FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-6-3
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 0.88
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 17
- They have won 19 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Carabobo FC at home only, Metropolitanos FC away only.
Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Carabobo FC 5 · draws 4 · Metropolitanos FC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Carabobo FC | 1-0 | Metropolitanos FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2026-05-31 | Metropolitanos FC | 1-5 | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2026-05-03 | Carabobo FC | 0-0 | Metropolitanos FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2026-02-20 | Metropolitanos FC | 1-1 | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-11-05 | Metropolitanos FC | 0-4 | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-10-22 | Carabobo FC | 1-0 | Metropolitanos FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-08-02 | Carabobo FC | 0-0 | Metropolitanos FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-06-07 | Carabobo FC | 2-2 | Metropolitanos FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-05-02 | Metropolitanos FC | 1-3 | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-02-23 | Metropolitanos FC | 3-0 | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División |
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 3 fixtures
- Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC 2026-10-31
- Caracas FC v Monagas SC — match page 2026-10-31
- Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Carabobo FC, previous: Carabobo FC – Deportivo La Guaira, 2026-10-28
- Metropolitanos FC, previous: Metropolitanos FC v Portuguesa FC analysis