Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC preview
In the fixture between Puerto Cabello and Deportivo Tachira FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Puerto Cabello at 41%, Deportivo Tachira FC at 34%, and a draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score stands at 66%, while Over 2.5 goals has a 64% likelihood.
Recent form indicates both teams have similar performances, with Puerto Cabello at W-D-W-W-D-L and Deportivo Tachira FC at W-D-W-W-D-L. The expected goals are 1.74 for Puerto Cabello and 1.56 for Deportivo Tachira FC. A potential factor that could affect the outcome is the head-to-head record, where Deportivo Tachira FC has 5 wins out of the last 10 encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC: model vs market
| Source | Puerto Cabello | Draw | Deportivo Tachira FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Puerto Cabello and Deportivo Tachira FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.29
- Attack rating (Puerto Cabello / Deportivo Tachira FC)
- 1.17 / 1.60
- Defence rating (Puerto Cabello / Deportivo Tachira FC)
- 0.89 / 1.07
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Puerto Cabello goals. Columns: Deportivo Tachira FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puerto Cabello | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 | |
| Deportivo Tachira FC | 34% | 2.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.77 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.51 |
| No | 34% | 2.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Puerto Cabello or draw) | 66% | 1.51 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Deportivo Tachira FC) | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | Puerto Cabello win by 2+ | 22% | 4.53 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Puerto Cabello and Deportivo Tachira FC recent form
Puerto Cabello
3W 2D 1L
Deportivo Tachira FC
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Puerto Cabello at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-4-3
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 1.88
- Goals against / match
- 1.06
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 16
- They have won 14 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Tachira FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-4-4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.69
- Goals against / match
- 1.31
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 16
- They have won 18 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Puerto Cabello at home only, Deportivo Tachira FC away only.
Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Puerto Cabello 2 · draws 3 · Deportivo Tachira FC 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 1-1 | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2026-04-04 | Puerto Cabello | 1-2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-09-21 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 0-0 | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-06-07 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 2-0 | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-05-03 | Puerto Cabello | 1-2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-04-14 | Puerto Cabello | 3-2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2024-08-29 | Puerto Cabello | 0-0 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Primera División |
| 2024-03-08 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 0-1 | Puerto Cabello | Primera División |
| 2023-11-04 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 2-1 | Puerto Cabello | Primera División |
| 2023-10-29 | Puerto Cabello | 0-1 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Primera División |
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 3 fixtures
- Caracas FC v Monagas SC — match page 2026-10-31
- Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Puerto Cabello, previous: Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC: odds and pick
- Deportivo Tachira FC, previous: Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC prediction