Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello preview
In the match between Deportivo Tachira FC and Puerto Cabello, the 1X2 probabilities show Deportivo Tachira FC at 48%, while Puerto Cabello sits at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, which occurs 10% of the time. With Deportivo Tachira FC's expected goals at 1.79 and Puerto Cabello's at 0.96, there is a strong chance for a low-scoring game.
However, both teams to score stands at 53%, indicating a potential for goals from both sides. Deportivo Tachira FC's recent form of W-W-W-D-W-W contrasts with Puerto Cabello's L-L-W-D-W-W, which could influence the match outcome. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello: model vs market
| Source | Deportivo Tachira FC | Draw | Puerto Cabello |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Published | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Edge | +3% | -1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Deportivo Tachira FC below our published probability: +2.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Deportivo Tachira FC, 4 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Tachira FC | 2.00 | 2.05 | +0.05 |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.10 | -0.15 |
| Puerto Cabello | 3.52 | 3.40 | -0.12 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Deportivo Tachira FC and Puerto Cabello expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.75
- Attack rating (Deportivo Tachira FC / Puerto Cabello)
- 1.52 / 0.97
- Defence rating (Deportivo Tachira FC / Puerto Cabello)
- 0.90 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Deportivo Tachira FC goals. Columns: Puerto Cabello goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 47% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 | |
| Puerto Cabello | 25% | 4.05 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| No | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Deportivo Tachira FC or draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Puerto Cabello) | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Tachira FC win by 2+ | 32% | 3.08 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Deportivo Tachira FC and Puerto Cabello recent form
Deportivo Tachira FC
5W 1D 0L
Puerto Cabello
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Deportivo Tachira FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 11-4-2
- Win rate
- 65%
- Goals for / match
- 1.71
- Goals against / match
- 0.82
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 17
- They have won 20 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puerto Cabello away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-7-6
- Win rate
- 28%
- Goals for / match
- 0.89
- Goals against / match
- 1.06
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 18
- They have won 14 of their 36 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 36 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 36 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Deportivo Tachira FC at home only, Puerto Cabello away only.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Deportivo Tachira FC 5 · draws 3 · Puerto Cabello 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Puerto Cabello | 0-1 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2026-09-15 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 1-1 | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2026-04-04 | Puerto Cabello | 1-2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-09-21 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 0-0 | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-06-07 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 2-0 | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-05-03 | Puerto Cabello | 1-2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-04-14 | Puerto Cabello | 3-2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2024-08-29 | Puerto Cabello | 0-0 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Primera División |
| 2024-03-08 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 0-1 | Puerto Cabello | Primera División |
| 2023-11-04 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 2-1 | Puerto Cabello | Primera División |
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 4 fixtures
- Monagas SC v Caracas FC — match page 2026-11-03
- Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira 2026-11-04
- Metropolitanos FC v Carabobo FC — match page 2026-11-04
Before and after this match
- Deportivo Tachira FC, previous: Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC: odds and pick
- Deportivo Tachira FC, next: Monagas SC vs Deportivo Tachira FC: odds and pick
- Puerto Cabello, previous: Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC: odds and pick
- Puerto Cabello, next: Caracas FC vs Puerto Cabello prediction