Caracas FC vs Puerto Cabello preview
In the fixture between Caracas FC and Puerto Cabello, the 1X2 probabilities show Caracas FC at 37%, a draw at 31%, and Puerto Cabello at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Caracas FC, which has a 10% chance of occurring.
Caracas FC's expected goals are 1.21, while Puerto Cabello's are slightly lower at 1.12. The model indicates a 41% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance for both teams to score. Recent form shows Caracas FC with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Puerto Cabello has 3 wins in the same period. These factors could lead to different outcomes than predicted.
Caracas FC vs Puerto Cabello: model vs market
| Source | Caracas FC | Draw | Puerto Cabello |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Caracas FC and Puerto Cabello expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.34
- Attack rating (Caracas FC / Puerto Cabello)
- 1.03 / 0.97
- Defence rating (Caracas FC / Puerto Cabello)
- 1.05 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Caracas FC vs Puerto Cabello score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Caracas FC goals. Columns: Puerto Cabello goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Caracas FC vs Puerto Cabello goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Caracas FC vs Puerto Cabello
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Caracas FC | 37% | 2.71 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.26 | |
| Puerto Cabello | 32% | 3.08 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.05 |
| No | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Caracas FC or draw) | 68% | 1.48 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Puerto Cabello) | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Handicap -1 | Caracas FC win by 2+ | 16% | 6.10 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Caracas FC and Puerto Cabello recent form
Caracas FC
3W 1D 2L
Puerto Cabello
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Caracas FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-7
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.47
- Goals against / match
- 1.53
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 15
- They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puerto Cabello away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-7-6
- Win rate
- 28%
- Goals for / match
- 0.89
- Goals against / match
- 1.06
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 18
- They have won 14 of their 36 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 36 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 36 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Caracas FC at home only, Puerto Cabello away only.
Caracas FC vs Puerto Cabello head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Caracas FC 2 · draws 6 · Puerto Cabello 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Puerto Cabello | 0-1 | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2026-08-06 | Puerto Cabello | 3-1 | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2026-02-07 | Caracas FC | 1-1 | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-08-25 | Puerto Cabello | 0-0 | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-03-15 | Caracas FC | 0-0 | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2024-09-04 | Caracas FC | 0-0 | Puerto Cabello | Primera División |
| 2024-03-17 | Puerto Cabello | 2-0 | Caracas FC | Primera División |
| 2024-01-26 | Puerto Cabello | 1-1 | Caracas FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-11-08 | Caracas FC | 1-0 | Puerto Cabello | Primera División |
| 2023-10-25 | Puerto Cabello | 0-0 | Caracas FC | Primera División |
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Caracas FC, previous: Monagas SC vs Caracas FC: odds and pick
- Puerto Cabello, previous: Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello prediction