Caracas FC vs Monagas SC preview
In the fixture between Caracas FC and Monagas SC, the 1X2 probabilities show Caracas FC at 41%, Monagas SC at 31%, and a draw at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance according to our model. Both teams to score stands at 56%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 51%.
Caracas FC's recent form shows 2 wins and 4 losses, while Monagas SC has 4 wins and 2 draws in their last 6 matches. The expected goals are 1.47 for Caracas FC and 1.25 for Monagas SC. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating uncertainty. A draw or an unexpected performance from either team could change the outcome.
Caracas FC vs Monagas SC: model vs market
| Source | Caracas FC | Draw | Monagas SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Caracas FC and Monagas SC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.71
- Attack rating (Caracas FC / Monagas SC)
- 0.98 / 1.08
- Defence rating (Caracas FC / Monagas SC)
- 1.05 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Caracas FC vs Monagas SC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Caracas FC goals. Columns: Monagas SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Caracas FC vs Monagas SC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Caracas FC vs Monagas SC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Caracas FC | 41% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Monagas SC | 31% | 3.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| No | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Caracas FC or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Monagas SC) | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Handicap -1 | Caracas FC win by 2+ | 20% | 4.92 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Caracas FC and Monagas SC recent form
Caracas FC
2W 1D 3L
Monagas SC
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Caracas FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-6
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 14
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Monagas SC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-9
- Win rate
- 15%
- Goals for / match
- 1.15
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Caracas FC at home only, Monagas SC away only.
Caracas FC vs Monagas SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Caracas FC 3 · draws 4 · Monagas SC 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Caracas FC | 0-1 | Monagas SC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2026-03-22 | Monagas SC | 1-1 | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-09-28 | Monagas SC | 2-2 | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-04-18 | Caracas FC | 1-4 | Monagas SC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2024-09-20 | Caracas FC | 1-2 | Monagas SC | Primera División |
| 2024-03-24 | Monagas SC | 1-1 | Caracas FC | Primera División |
| 2024-01-28 | Monagas SC | 2-3 | Caracas FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-06-24 | Caracas FC | 2-0 | Monagas SC | Primera División |
| 2023-05-20 | Monagas SC | 0-2 | Caracas FC | Primera División |
| 2022-07-22 | Monagas SC | 0-0 | Caracas FC | Primera División |
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 3 fixtures
- Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC 2026-10-31
- Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Caracas FC, previous: Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC: odds and pick
- Monagas SC, previous: Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC prediction