Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC preview
Deportivo Tachira FC has a 59% probability to win against Monagas SC, with a likely scoreline of 2-1 at 9%. The model also suggests a high chance of Over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 67%. Deportivo Tachira FC has been in decent form, with a recent record of D-W-W-D-L-W, while Monagas SC shows a mixed performance of D-W-D-W-W-L.
However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. If Monagas SC improves their scoring, they could challenge Deportivo Tachira FC's dominance, especially given their recent results where they have won 4 out of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC: model vs market
| Source | Deportivo Tachira FC | Draw | Monagas SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 1.33.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Deportivo Tachira FC and Monagas SC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.67
- Attack rating (Deportivo Tachira FC / Monagas SC)
- 1.60 / 1.13
- Defence rating (Deportivo Tachira FC / Monagas SC)
- 1.08 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Deportivo Tachira FC goals. Columns: Monagas SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 59% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.80 | |
| Monagas SC | 20% | 5.00 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.44 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| No | 33% | 3.05 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Deportivo Tachira FC or draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Monagas SC) | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Tachira FC win by 2+ | 38% | 2.60 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Deportivo Tachira FC and Monagas SC recent form
Deportivo Tachira FC
3W 2D 1L
Monagas SC
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Deportivo Tachira FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-4-2
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 1.69
- Goals against / match
- 0.88
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
- They have won 17 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Monagas SC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-9
- Win rate
- 15%
- Goals for / match
- 1.15
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Deportivo Tachira FC at home only, Monagas SC away only.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Deportivo Tachira FC 4 · draws 0 · Monagas SC 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 3-2 | Monagas SC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2026-02-22 | Monagas SC | 2-3 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-07-13 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 2-1 | Monagas SC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-01-31 | Monagas SC | 1-4 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División |
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Deportivo Tachira FC, previous: Caracas FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC prediction
- Monagas SC, previous: Monagas SC vs Puerto Cabello: odds and pick