Caracas FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC preview
In the match between Caracas FC and Deportivo Tachira FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Deportivo Tachira FC at 44%, compared to Caracas FC's 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% probability. The data suggests a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 65%.
Caracas FC's expected goals are 1.47, while Deportivo Tachira FC's are 1.76. Recent form indicates Caracas FC has won 3 of their last 6 matches, while Deportivo Tachira FC has won 4 of their last 6. The head-to-head record favors Deportivo Tachira FC with 4 wins out of the last 10 encounters. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the prediction.
Caracas FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC: model vs market
| Source | Caracas FC | Draw | Deportivo Tachira FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| Market | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| Published | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| Edge | 0% | -1% | +1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Caracas FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Deportivo Tachira FC, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-22.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caracas FC | 3.20 | 2.90 | -0.30 |
| Draw | 3.20 | 3.30 | +0.10 |
| Deportivo Tachira FC | 2.05 | 2.16 | +0.11 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Caracas FC and Deportivo Tachira FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.23
- Attack rating (Caracas FC / Deportivo Tachira FC)
- 0.98 / 1.60
- Defence rating (Caracas FC / Deportivo Tachira FC)
- 1.01 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Caracas FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Caracas FC goals. Columns: Deportivo Tachira FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Caracas FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Caracas FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Caracas FC | 31% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.74 | |
| Deportivo Tachira FC | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.55 |
| No | 35% | 2.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Caracas FC or draw) | 58% | 1.73 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Deportivo Tachira FC) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Tachira FC win by 2+ | 24% | 4.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Caracas FC and Deportivo Tachira FC recent form
Caracas FC
3W 1D 2L
Deportivo Tachira FC
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Caracas FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-5
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.46
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
- They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Tachira FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-4
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
- They have won 17 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Caracas FC at home only, Deportivo Tachira FC away only.
Caracas FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Caracas FC 1 · draws 5 · Deportivo Tachira FC 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 0-0 | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2026-03-07 | Caracas FC | 0-1 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-11-05 | Caracas FC | 0-0 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-10-22 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 2-3 | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-08-02 | Caracas FC | 1-1 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-02-23 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 1-0 | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2024-11-12 | Caracas FC | 0-4 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Primera División |
| 2024-10-29 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 2-0 | Caracas FC | Primera División |
| 2024-08-21 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 1-1 | Caracas FC | Primera División |
| 2024-03-03 | Caracas FC | 0-0 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Primera División |
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 1 fixtures
- Monagas SC v Puerto Cabello — match page 2026-10-24
- Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC 2026-10-25
- Deportivo La Guaira v Metropolitanos FC — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Caracas FC, previous: Rayo Zuliano v Caracas FC analysis
- Caracas FC, next: Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC: odds and pick
- Deportivo Tachira FC, previous: Carabobo FC – Deportivo Tachira FC, 2026-10-17
- Deportivo Tachira FC, next: Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC prediction