Carabobo FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC preview
In the fixture between Carabobo FC and Deportivo Tachira FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Carabobo FC at 42% and Deportivo Tachira FC at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, which occurs with a probability of 9%. Both teams to score stands at 54%, indicating a reasonable chance for goals from both sides.
Carabobo FC's expected goals are 1.44, while Deportivo Tachira FC's are 1.16. Recent form shows Carabobo FC with 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, compared to Deportivo Tachira FC's 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. The head-to-head record favors Deportivo Tachira FC with 5 wins in the last 9 encounters, which could influence the outcome.
Carabobo FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC: model vs market
| Source | Carabobo FC | Draw | Deportivo Tachira FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Published | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Edge | +4% | -1% | -3% |
- The market prices Carabobo FC below the model: +3.7 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.40, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Carabobo FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Carabobo FC, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-15.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carabobo FC | 2.20 | 2.33 | +0.13 |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.07 | -0.08 |
| Deportivo Tachira FC | 3.00 | 2.83 | -0.17 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Carabobo FC and Deportivo Tachira FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.60
- Attack rating (Carabobo FC / Deportivo Tachira FC)
- 1.02 / 1.61
- Defence rating (Carabobo FC / Deportivo Tachira FC)
- 0.67 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Carabobo FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Carabobo FC goals. Columns: Deportivo Tachira FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Carabobo FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Carabobo FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carabobo FC | 40% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Deportivo Tachira FC | 31% | 3.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.08 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.87 |
| No | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Carabobo FC or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Deportivo Tachira FC) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Handicap -1 | Carabobo FC win by 2+ | 21% | 4.73 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Carabobo FC and Deportivo Tachira FC recent form
Carabobo FC
4W 1D 1L
Deportivo Tachira FC
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Carabobo FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-6-0
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 11 of 16
- They have won 14 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
Deportivo Tachira FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.64
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 17 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Carabobo FC at home only, Deportivo Tachira FC away only.
Carabobo FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Carabobo FC 1 · draws 4 · Deportivo Tachira FC 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Carabobo FC | 1-1 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2026-05-10 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 3-1 | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2026-04-25 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 2-1 | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-11-01 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 1-2 | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-10-26 | Carabobo FC | 1-1 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-10-04 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 3-0 | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-05-22 | Carabobo FC | 2-4 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-05-17 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 1-0 | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-04-27 | Carabobo FC | 0-0 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2024-12-08 | Carabobo FC | 0-0 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Primera División |
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
- Zamora FC vs Anzoátegui FC 2026-10-17
- Deportivo La Guaira vs Trujillanos FC — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC 2026-10-18
- Puerto Cabello v Monagas SC — match page 2026-10-18
- UCV vs Portuguesa FC — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas FC 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Carabobo FC, previous: Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC: odds and pick
- Deportivo Tachira FC, previous: Deportivo Tachira FC – UCV, 2026-10-10