Zamora FC vs Anzoátegui FC preview
Zamora FC faces Anzoátegui FC with both teams holding a 36% chance to win in the 1X2 market. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with an 8% probability. Expected goals suggest Zamora FC will score 1.42 while Anzoátegui FC is projected to net 1.10.
Recent form shows Zamora FC with five losses and one draw, while Anzoátegui FC has six matches without a win, including five losses. The model indicates a 52% chance for both teams to score and a 46% chance for Over 2.5 goals. These outcomes could change if either team improves their current form or if defensive errors occur during the match.
Zamora FC vs Anzoátegui FC: model vs market
| Source | Zamora FC | Draw | Anzoátegui FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | 31% | 30% | 39% |
| Published | 34% | 30% | 36% |
| Edge | +12% | -1% | -11% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.33, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Zamora FC vs Anzoátegui FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Anzoátegui FC, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-15.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zamora FC | 2.53 | 2.90 | +0.37 |
| Draw | 3.02 | 3.02 | +0.00 |
| Anzoátegui FC | 2.53 | 2.29 | -0.24 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Zamora FC and Anzoátegui FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.52
- Attack rating (Zamora FC / Anzoátegui FC)
- 0.79 / 0.66
- Defence rating (Zamora FC / Anzoátegui FC)
- 1.53 / 1.31
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zamora FC vs Anzoátegui FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zamora FC goals. Columns: Anzoátegui FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zamora FC vs Anzoátegui FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zamora FC vs Anzoátegui FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zamora FC | 34% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.38 | |
| Anzoátegui FC | 36% | 2.75 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.17 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| No | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zamora FC or draw) | 64% | 1.57 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Anzoátegui FC) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Handicap -1 | Anzoátegui FC win by 2+ | 11% | 8.84 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 | First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 | 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zamora FC and Anzoátegui FC recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zamora FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-5
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.58
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Anzoátegui FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-8
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 3 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 24 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zamora FC at home only, Anzoátegui FC away only.
Expected lineups
Zamora FC lineup · 4-4-2
- 1 E. Paredes
- 28 J. Exime
- 25 J. Mosquera
- 13 A. Matos
- 40 I. Valladares
- 30 S. Torrealba
- 8 A. Flores
- 27 C. M. Diaz Moreno
- 7 E. Gallardo
- 38 J. Sinisterra
Bench: S. Gómez, B. Rodríguez, J. Moreno, J. Sequera, A. Rivas, S. Sulbarán, N. Jiménez, F. Ruiz
Anzoátegui FC lineup · 4-2-3-1
- 1 W. Hernández
- 16 J. Silgado
- 22 D. Guevara
- 14 D. Bueno
- 2 P. Bonilla
- 5 J. Pacheco
- 8 E. Ruiz
- 19 D. Tegues
- 77 C. Barrios
- 7 G. Marín
- 9 C. Ortiz
Bench: C. Lujano, E. Navas, J. Agüero, J. Lovera, J. Castellano, C. Cermeño, P. Perez, A. Moreno, P. Rojas, F. Sinza
Zamora FC vs Anzoátegui FC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Zamora FC 1 · draws 1 · Anzoátegui FC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Anzoátegui FC | 1-1 | Zamora FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-09-27 | Zamora FC | 2-1 | Anzoátegui FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-04-20 | Anzoátegui FC | 2-0 | Zamora FC | Venezuela Primera División |
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
- Deportivo La Guaira vs Trujillanos FC — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Carabobo FC v Deportivo Tachira FC — match page 2026-10-17
- Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC 2026-10-18
- Puerto Cabello v Monagas SC — match page 2026-10-18
- UCV vs Portuguesa FC — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas FC 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Zamora FC, previous: Caracas FC v Zamora FC analysis
- Anzoátegui FC, previous: Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC: odds and pick