Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora preview
Egnatia Rrogozhinë has a 59% chance to win against Vora, with the most likely scoreline being 2-1 at 10%. The model also suggests a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 59%.
However, Vora's recent form shows some potential, with 3 wins in their last 10 head-to-head matches against Egnatia Rrogozhinë. If Vora can improve their attack, which has an expected goal figure of 1.09, they could challenge the expected outcome. Egnatia Rrogozhinë's recent form, with 3 wins in their last 6 matches, indicates they are in decent shape to secure a victory.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora: model vs market
| Source | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Draw | Vora |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 66% | 21% | 13% |
| Published | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Edge | -4% | +1% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.25.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.44, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Vora expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.10
- Attack rating (Egnatia Rrogozhinë / Vora)
- 1.17 / 1.30
- Defence rating (Egnatia Rrogozhinë / Vora)
- 0.95 / 1.22
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals. Columns: Vora goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 62% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.62 | |
| Vora | 16% | 6.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| No | 39% | 2.57 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Vora) | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Handicap -1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë win by 2+ | 29% | 3.46 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Vora recent form
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3W 1D 2L
Vora
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Egnatia Rrogozhinë at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Vora away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Egnatia Rrogozhinë at home only, Vora away only.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 6 · draws 1 · Vora 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vora | 1-3 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-04-26 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 0-2 | Vora | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-02-14 | Vora | 1-1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-12-08 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2-0 | Vora | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-10-05 | Vora | 0-1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga |
| 2017-03-05 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2-1 | Vora | 2nd Division - Group A |
| 2016-10-30 | Vora | 1-2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2nd Division - Group A |
| 2016-04-03 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1-0 | Vora | 2nd Division - Group A |
| 2015-11-08 | Vora | 2-1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2nd Division - Group A |
| 2014-04-13 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2-3 | Vora | 2nd Division - Group A |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- Laci v Partizani — match page 2026-11-07
- Vllaznia Shkodër v AF Elbasani — match page 2026-11-07
- Dinamo Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë, previous: Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë, next: Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Lincoln Red Imps FC, 2026-11-26
- Vora, previous: Vora v Dinamo Tirana analysis