Vora vs Dinamo Tirana preview
In the Albania Superliga fixture between Vora and Dinamo Tirana, the 1X2 probabilities show Vora at 38%, Dinamo Tirana at 36%, and a draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Vora recording 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Dinamo Tirana has 4 wins in their last 6.
The model suggests a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 65%. Vora's expected goals stand at 1.64, while Dinamo Tirana's is slightly lower at 1.59. A potential factor that could affect the outcome is Vora's recent struggles, as they have lost 3 of their last 6 matches.
Vora vs Dinamo Tirana: model vs market
| Source | Vora | Draw | Dinamo Tirana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 25% | 36% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 38% | 25% | 36% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Vora and Dinamo Tirana expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.23
- Attack rating (Vora / Dinamo Tirana)
- 1.20 / 1.34
- Defence rating (Vora / Dinamo Tirana)
- 1.18 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vora vs Dinamo Tirana score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vora goals. Columns: Dinamo Tirana goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vora vs Dinamo Tirana goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vora vs Dinamo Tirana
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vora | 38% | 2.61 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Dinamo Tirana | 36% | 2.75 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.53 |
| No | 35% | 2.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vora or draw) | 64% | 1.57 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Dinamo Tirana) | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vora win by 2+ | 20% | 5.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Vora and Dinamo Tirana recent form
Vora
1W 2D 3L
Dinamo Tirana
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vora at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dinamo Tirana away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vora at home only, Dinamo Tirana away only.
Vora vs Dinamo Tirana head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Vora 1 · draws 1 · Dinamo Tirana 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Dinamo Tirana | 0-1 | Vora | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-05-06 | Dinamo Tirana | 2-2 | Vora | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-02-28 | Vora | 1-2 | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-12-19 | Dinamo Tirana | 2-1 | Vora | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-10-24 | Vora | 0-2 | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Vora, previous: Vora – Vllaznia Shkodër, 2026-10-28
- Dinamo Tirana, previous: Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana: odds and pick