Teuta Durrës vs Partizani preview
Teuta Durrës faces Partizani with an 85% probability of winning, while Partizani stands at just 4%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Teuta Durrës's expected goals of 2.86 compared to Partizani's 0.51.
However, recent form shows Teuta Durrës is on a strong run with 5 wins and a draw, while Partizani has lost 4 of its last 5 matches. Despite this, head-to-head results indicate that Teuta Durrës has not won against Partizani in their last 5 encounters, with 2 wins for Partizani and 3 draws. This could lead to unexpected outcomes, especially in terms of both teams to score, which is at 38%.
Teuta Durrës vs Partizani: model vs market
| Source | Teuta Durrës | Draw | Partizani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 85% | 12% | 4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 85% | 12% | 4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.86 vs 0.51.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Teuta Durrës and Partizani expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.37
- Attack rating (Teuta Durrës / Partizani)
- 1.22 / 0.90
- Defence rating (Teuta Durrës / Partizani)
- 0.57 / 1.82
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Teuta Durrës vs Partizani score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Teuta Durrës goals. Columns: Partizani goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Teuta Durrës vs Partizani goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 38%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Teuta Durrës vs Partizani
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Teuta Durrës | 85% | 1.18 |
| Draw | 12% | 8.61 | |
| Partizani | 4% | 26.84 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.90 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38% | 2.62 |
| No | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Teuta Durrës or draw) | 96% | 1.04 |
| 12 (either side) | 88% | 1.13 | |
| X2 (draw or Partizani) | 15% | 6.52 | |
| Handicap -1 | Teuta Durrës win by 2+ | 66% | 1.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Teuta Durrës and Partizani recent form
Teuta Durrës
5W 1D 0L
Partizani
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Teuta Durrës at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Partizani away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Teuta Durrës at home only, Partizani away only.
Teuta Durrës vs Partizani head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Teuta Durrës 0 · draws 3 · Partizani 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Partizani | 0-0 | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-03-21 | Teuta Durrës | 2-2 | Partizani | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-01-19 | Partizani | 2-1 | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-11-09 | Teuta Durrës | 2-3 | Partizani | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-08-30 | Partizani | 0-0 | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Skenderbeu Korce v Vllaznia Shkodër — match page 2026-11-01
- AF Elbasani vs Laci — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Vora v Dinamo Tirana — match page 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Teuta Durrës, previous: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës prediction
- Partizani, previous: AF Elbasani v Partizani analysis