Skenderbeu Korce vs Vllaznia Shkodër preview
In the Albania Superliga fixture between Skenderbeu Korce and Vllaznia Shkodër, the 1X2 probabilities show Skenderbeu Korce at 56%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 11%. Skenderbeu Korce has an expected goals figure of 1.78, while Vllaznia Shkodër sits at 0.94.
However, Vllaznia Shkodër has shown some resilience, winning 1 of their last 6 matches. The model indicates a 51% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance for both teams to score. If Vllaznia Shkodër can improve their recent form, they might challenge Skenderbeu Korce's dominance in this match.
Skenderbeu Korce vs Vllaznia Shkodër: model vs market
| Source | Skenderbeu Korce | Draw | Vllaznia Shkodër |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.94.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Skenderbeu Korce and Vllaznia Shkodër expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.72
- Attack rating (Skenderbeu Korce / Vllaznia Shkodër)
- 1.02 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Skenderbeu Korce / Vllaznia Shkodër)
- 1.00 / 1.35
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Skenderbeu Korce vs Vllaznia Shkodër score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Skenderbeu Korce goals. Columns: Vllaznia Shkodër goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Skenderbeu Korce vs Vllaznia Shkodër goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Skenderbeu Korce vs Vllaznia Shkodër
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Skenderbeu Korce | 56% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Vllaznia Shkodër | 19% | 5.36 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| No | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Skenderbeu Korce or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Vllaznia Shkodër) | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Handicap -1 | Skenderbeu Korce win by 2+ | 32% | 3.09 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Skenderbeu Korce and Vllaznia Shkodër recent form
Skenderbeu Korce
2W 2D 2L
Vllaznia Shkodër
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Skenderbeu Korce at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Vllaznia Shkodër away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Skenderbeu Korce at home only, Vllaznia Shkodër away only.
Skenderbeu Korce vs Vllaznia Shkodër head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Skenderbeu Korce 0 · draws 1 · Vllaznia Shkodër 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 2-2 | Skenderbeu Korce | Albania Superliga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- AF Elbasani vs Laci — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Skenderbeu Korce, previous: Skenderbeu Korce v Laci analysis
- Vllaznia Shkodër, previous: Vora – Vllaznia Shkodër, 2026-10-28