Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani preview
In the Albania Superliga fixture, Vllaznia Shkodër faces AF Elbasani with a 32% chance for Vllaznia to win, compared to 40% for AF Elbasani. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with expected goals of 1.28 for Vllaznia and 1.44 for AF Elbasani.
Both teams to score has a probability of 56%, and there's a 51% chance for Over 2.5 goals. However, Vllaznia's recent form shows 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while AF Elbasani has 3 wins in their last 6. This discrepancy in form could influence the match outcome, making the prediction less certain.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani: model vs market
| Source | Vllaznia Shkodër | Draw | AF Elbasani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 28% | 43% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 29% | 28% | 43% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.18.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Vllaznia Shkodër and AF Elbasani expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.69
- Attack rating (Vllaznia Shkodër / AF Elbasani)
- 0.93 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Vllaznia Shkodër / AF Elbasani)
- 1.36 / 0.99
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vllaznia Shkodër goals. Columns: AF Elbasani goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 29% | 3.49 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 | |
| AF Elbasani | 43% | 2.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vllaznia Shkodër or draw) | 57% | 1.77 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or AF Elbasani) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Handicap -1 | AF Elbasani win by 2+ | 22% | 4.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vllaznia Shkodër and AF Elbasani recent form
Vllaznia Shkodër
2W 1D 3L
AF Elbasani
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vllaznia Shkodër at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AF Elbasani away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vllaznia Shkodër at home only, AF Elbasani away only.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Vllaznia Shkodër 2 · draws 5 · AF Elbasani 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | AF Elbasani | 1-1 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-05-31 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 1-2 | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-04-27 | AF Elbasani | 3-1 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-02-15 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 2-1 | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-12-08 | AF Elbasani | 1-0 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-10-04 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 1-0 | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-04-19 | AF Elbasani | 1-1 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Superliga |
| 2025-02-25 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 3-3 | AF Elbasani | Cup |
| 2025-02-21 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 1-1 | AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| 2025-02-05 | AF Elbasani | 0-0 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Cup |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Tirana vs Teuta Durrës 2026-11-07
- Laci v Partizani — match page 2026-11-07
- Dinamo Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Vllaznia Shkodër, previous: Skenderbeu Korce vs Vllaznia Shkodër: odds and pick
- AF Elbasani, previous: AF Elbasani vs Laci: odds and pick