Dinamo Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce preview
In the upcoming match between Dinamo Tirana and Skenderbeu Korce, the 1X2 probabilities show Dinamo Tirana at 49%, while Skenderbeu Korce sits at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 10% chance. The expected goals for Dinamo Tirana is 1.63, compared to Skenderbeu Korce's 1.10, indicating a stronger attacking performance from the home side.
Both teams to score has a probability of 55%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 51%. However, the recent form shows Dinamo Tirana with two losses in their last five matches, which could impact their performance. Skenderbeu Korce has a mixed form with three wins in their last five, suggesting they could challenge the home team effectively.
Dinamo Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce: model vs market
| Source | Dinamo Tirana | Draw | Skenderbeu Korce |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Published | 51% | 27% | 23% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.10.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Dinamo Tirana and Skenderbeu Korce expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.73
- Attack rating (Dinamo Tirana / Skenderbeu Korce)
- 1.29 / 0.99
- Defence rating (Dinamo Tirana / Skenderbeu Korce)
- 1.11 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dinamo Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dinamo Tirana goals. Columns: Skenderbeu Korce goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dinamo Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dinamo Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Tirana | 51% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.77 | |
| Skenderbeu Korce | 23% | 4.44 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| No | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dinamo Tirana or draw) | 77% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Skenderbeu Korce) | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Tirana win by 2+ | 26% | 3.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dinamo Tirana and Skenderbeu Korce recent form
Dinamo Tirana
2W 2D 2L
Skenderbeu Korce
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dinamo Tirana at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Skenderbeu Korce away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Dinamo Tirana at home only, Skenderbeu Korce away only.
Dinamo Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Dinamo Tirana 6 · draws 2 · Skenderbeu Korce 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Skenderbeu Korce | 0-1 | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-03-30 | Skenderbeu Korce | 4-1 | Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
| 2025-02-26 | Skenderbeu Korce | 0-4 | Dinamo Tirana | Cup |
| 2025-02-06 | Dinamo Tirana | 0-2 | Skenderbeu Korce | Cup |
| 2025-02-01 | Dinamo Tirana | 1-1 | Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
| 2024-11-23 | Skenderbeu Korce | 2-2 | Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
| 2024-09-16 | Dinamo Tirana | 2-1 | Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
| 2024-03-30 | Dinamo Tirana | 2-0 | Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
| 2024-02-21 | Skenderbeu Korce | 0-1 | Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
| 2023-10-31 | Dinamo Tirana | 2-1 | Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Tirana vs Teuta Durrës 2026-11-07
- Laci v Partizani — match page 2026-11-07
- Vllaznia Shkodër v AF Elbasani — match page 2026-11-07
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Dinamo Tirana, previous: Vora v Dinamo Tirana analysis
- Skenderbeu Korce, previous: Skenderbeu Korce vs Vllaznia Shkodër: odds and pick