Tirana vs Teuta Durrës preview
In the Albania Superliga fixture on 2026-11-07, Tirana faces Teuta Durrës with 26% chances for Tirana to win, 32% for a draw, and 42% for Teuta Durrës to win. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs with a 13% probability. Tirana's expected goals stand at 0.90, while Teuta Durrës has a higher expected goals figure of 1.22.
Tirana's recent form shows 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Teuta Durrës has been more successful with 4 wins in the same period. There is a 43% chance that both teams will score, and a 36% chance for Over 2.5 goals. However, Tirana's struggles to convert chances could lead to a different outcome than expected.
Tirana vs Teuta Durrës: model vs market
| Source | Tirana | Draw | Teuta Durrës |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 33% | 39% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 28% | 33% | 39% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Tirana and Teuta Durrës expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.03
- Attack rating (Tirana / Teuta Durrës)
- 1.16 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Tirana / Teuta Durrës)
- 1.09 / 0.61
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Tirana vs Teuta Durrës score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Tirana goals. Columns: Teuta Durrës goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Tirana vs Teuta Durrës goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Tirana vs Teuta Durrës
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tirana | 28% | 3.52 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Teuta Durrës | 39% | 2.60 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33% | 3.02 |
| Under 2.5 | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.40 |
| No | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Tirana or draw) | 61% | 1.63 |
| 12 (either side) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| X2 (draw or Teuta Durrës) | 72% | 1.40 | |
| Handicap -1 | Teuta Durrës win by 2+ | 16% | 6.10 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Tirana and Teuta Durrës recent form
Tirana
2W 2D 2L
Teuta Durrës
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Tirana at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Teuta Durrës away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Tirana at home only, Teuta Durrës away only.
Tirana vs Teuta Durrës head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Tirana 1 · draws 3 · Teuta Durrës 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Teuta Durrës | 3-1 | Tirana | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-05-02 | Teuta Durrës | 0-1 | Tirana | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-02-22 | Tirana | 0-1 | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-12-13 | Teuta Durrës | 1-1 | Tirana | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-10-18 | Tirana | 0-0 | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-04-19 | Tirana | 0-1 | Teuta Durrës | Superliga |
| 2025-02-22 | Teuta Durrës | 2-1 | Tirana | Superliga |
| 2024-12-09 | Tirana | 0-0 | Teuta Durrës | Superliga |
| 2024-10-06 | Teuta Durrës | 3-1 | Tirana | Superliga |
| 2024-03-29 | Tirana | 1-2 | Teuta Durrës | Superliga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Laci v Partizani — match page 2026-11-07
- Vllaznia Shkodër v AF Elbasani — match page 2026-11-07
- Dinamo Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Tirana, previous: Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction
- Teuta Durrës, previous: Teuta Durrës – Partizani, 2026-11-02