Laci vs Partizani preview
In the Albania Superliga fixture between Laci and Partizani, the model gives Laci a 59% chance to win, while Partizani has an 18% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring at a 10% probability. Laci's expected goals are 2.03, compared to Partizani's 1.04, indicating a stronger attacking performance from Laci.
However, recent form could impact the outcome. Laci has recorded one win in their last six matches, while Partizani has lost all six of their recent games. Both teams to score has a 57% probability, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 59%. If Laci's inconsistent form continues or if Partizani manages to improve, the expected results could change.
Laci vs Partizani: model vs market
| Source | Laci | Draw | Partizani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 53% | 25% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.06.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Laci and Partizani expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.85
- Attack rating (Laci / Partizani)
- 0.88 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Laci / Partizani)
- 1.13 / 1.59
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Laci vs Partizani score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Laci goals. Columns: Partizani goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Laci vs Partizani goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Laci vs Partizani
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Laci | 53% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Partizani | 21% | 4.72 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.19 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.80 |
| No | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Laci or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Partizani) | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Handicap -1 | Laci win by 2+ | 31% | 3.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Laci and Partizani recent form
Laci
1W 1D 4L
Partizani
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Laci at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Partizani away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Laci at home only, Partizani away only.
Laci vs Partizani head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Laci 2 · draws 4 · Partizani 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Partizani | 1-2 | Laci | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-03-30 | Partizani | 1-0 | Laci | Superliga |
| 2025-02-25 | Partizani | 2-1 | Laci | Cup |
| 2025-02-05 | Laci | 0-0 | Partizani | Cup |
| 2025-02-01 | Laci | 0-0 | Partizani | Superliga |
| 2024-11-24 | Partizani | 1-0 | Laci | Superliga |
| 2024-09-16 | Laci | 1-1 | Partizani | Superliga |
| 2024-03-30 | Laci | 1-1 | Partizani | Superliga |
| 2024-01-20 | Partizani | 1-2 | Laci | Superliga |
| 2023-11-01 | Laci | 0-1 | Partizani | Superliga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Tirana vs Teuta Durrës 2026-11-07
- Vllaznia Shkodër v AF Elbasani — match page 2026-11-07
- Dinamo Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Laci, previous: AF Elbasani vs Laci: odds and pick
- Partizani, previous: Teuta Durrës – Partizani, 2026-11-02