AF Elbasani vs Laci preview
In the upcoming match between AF Elbasani and Laci, the 1X2 probabilities show AF Elbasani at 45%, with a likely scoreline of 1-0 at 12%. The expected goals indicate AF Elbasani at 1.35 and Laci at 0.94. This suggests a close contest, but AF Elbasani's recent form of D-L-D-D-W-L could impact their performance.
Laci has struggled recently with a form of W-L-L-L-W-L, which may hinder their chances. The model predicts a 40% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance for both teams to score, indicating a potential for low-scoring play. If AF Elbasani fails to capitalize on their home advantage, the match could see a different outcome than expected.
AF Elbasani vs Laci: model vs market
| Source | AF Elbasani | Draw | Laci |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.94.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
AF Elbasani and Laci expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.29
- Attack rating (AF Elbasani / Laci)
- 0.96 / 0.87
- Defence rating (AF Elbasani / Laci)
- 1.07 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
AF Elbasani vs Laci score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: AF Elbasani goals. Columns: Laci goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
AF Elbasani vs Laci goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for AF Elbasani vs Laci
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AF Elbasani | 45% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 | |
| Laci | 25% | 4.02 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.16 |
| No | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Double chance | 1X (AF Elbasani or draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Laci) | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Handicap -1 | AF Elbasani win by 2+ | 22% | 4.60 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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AF Elbasani and Laci recent form
AF Elbasani
1W 3D 2L
Laci
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AF Elbasani at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-0
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Laci away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: AF Elbasani at home only, Laci away only.
AF Elbasani vs Laci head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: AF Elbasani 0 · draws 1 · Laci 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Laci | 1-1 | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
- AF Elbasani, previous: AF Elbasani v Partizani analysis
- Laci, previous: Skenderbeu Korce v Laci analysis