Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë preview
In the Albania Superliga, Tirana faces Egnatia Rrogozhinë with 38% chances for Tirana to win and 36% for Egnatia. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with an 8% probability. Both teams to score stands at 62%, while Over 2.5 goals is predicted at 59%.
Tirana's recent form shows 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 6 matches, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë has 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the same period. The head-to-head record favors Egnatia with 3 wins out of the last 5 encounters. This could impact the match outcome if Egnatia continues their strong form against Tirana.
Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: model vs market
| Source | Tirana | Draw | Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.04
- Attack rating (Tirana / Egnatia Rrogozhinë)
- 1.26 / 1.37
- Defence rating (Tirana / Egnatia Rrogozhinë)
- 1.03 / 0.99
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Tirana goals. Columns: Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tirana | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 | |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 33% | 3.07 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.41 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.62 |
| No | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Tirana or draw) | 67% | 1.48 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Egnatia Rrogozhinë) | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | Tirana win by 2+ | 22% | 4.65 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë recent form
Tirana
3W 2D 1L
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Tirana at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Tirana at home only, Egnatia Rrogozhinë away only.
Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Tirana 2 · draws 0 · Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3-0 | Tirana | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-04-12 | Tirana | 3-1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-02-01 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 0-1 | Tirana | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-11-29 | Tirana | 0-1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-09-20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2-0 | Tirana | Albania Superliga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Skenderbeu Korce v Vllaznia Shkodër — match page 2026-11-01
- AF Elbasani vs Laci — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Tirana, previous: Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana: odds and pick
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë, previous: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës prediction
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë, next: Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction