Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 11Postponed

Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran

Alin prediction Ben Aknoun to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Ben AknounDrawMC Oran
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBen AknounDrawMC Oran
Model34%34%32%
Market———
Published34%34%32%
Edge———

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Ben Aknoun and MC Oran expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.85Ben Aknoun
0.86MC Oran
Total expected goals
1.70
Attack rating (Ben Aknoun / MC Oran)
1.10 / 0.84
Defence rating (Ben Aknoun / MC Oran)
1.14 / 0.57

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 19.5% 14.3% 6.7% 1.9% 0.5% 1 14.1% 14.5% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4% 2 6.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 3 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 4+ 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Ben Aknoun goals. Columns: MC Oran goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 80%
Over 1.5 52%
Over 2.5 24%
Over 3.5 9%
Both teams to score
40%
No goals (0–0)
20%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Ben Aknoun34%2.91
Draw34%2.95
MC Oran32%3.16
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531%3.20
Under 2.569%1.45
Both teams to scoreYes40%2.48
No60%1.68
Double chance1X (Ben Aknoun or draw)68%1.46
12 (either side)66%1.51
X2 (draw or MC Oran)66%1.52
Handicap -1Ben Aknoun win by 2+11%9.13
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Ben Aknoun and MC Oran recent form

Ben Aknoun 0W 5D 1L
MC Oran 3W 3D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Ben Aknoun at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

MC Oran away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
0.67
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
3 of 3
  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Ben Aknoun at home only, MC Oran away only.

Ben Aknoun vs MC Oran head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Ben Aknoun 1 · draws 0 · MC Oran 1.

Ben AknounDrawsMC Oran
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-01-24Ben Aknoun2-1MC OranAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-08-21MC Oran2-1Ben AknounAlgeria Ligue 1

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match