Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 11Postponed

JS Saoura vs JS Kabylie

Alin prediction JS Kabylie to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

17% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
JS SaouraDrawJS Kabylie
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.01 vs 0.54.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

JS Saoura vs JS Kabylie: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceJS SaouraDrawJS Kabylie
Model22%35%43%
Market———
Published22%35%43%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.01 vs 0.54.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

JS Saoura and JS Kabylie expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.54JS Saoura
1.01JS Kabylie
Total expected goals
1.55
Attack rating (JS Saoura / JS Kabylie)
0.60 / 1.38
Defence rating (JS Saoura / JS Kabylie)
0.82 / 0.67

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

JS Saoura vs JS Kabylie score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 22.4% 20.2% 10.8% 3.6% 1.1% 1 10.3% 12.8% 5.9% 2.0% 0.6% 2 3.1% 3.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 4+ 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: JS Saoura goals. Columns: JS Kabylie goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

JS Saoura vs JS Kabylie goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 78%
Over 1.5 47%
Over 2.5 20%
Over 3.5 7%
Both teams to score
33%
No goals (0–0)
22%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for JS Saoura vs JS Kabylie

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2JS Saoura22%4.57
Draw35%2.83
JS Kabylie43%2.34
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525%4.01
Under 2.575%1.33
Both teams to scoreYes33%3.02
No67%1.50
Double chance1X (JS Saoura or draw)57%1.75
12 (either side)65%1.55
X2 (draw or JS Kabylie)78%1.28
Handicap -1JS Kabylie win by 2+18%5.46
Push (exactly one goal)27%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

JS Saoura and JS Kabylie recent form

JS Saoura 0W 3D 3L
JS Kabylie 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

JS Saoura at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
2 of 2
  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 6 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

JS Kabylie away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: JS Saoura at home only, JS Kabylie away only.

JS Saoura vs JS Kabylie head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: JS Saoura 1 · draws 1 · JS Kabylie 0.

JS SaouraDrawsJS Kabylie
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-18JS Kabylie0-1JS SaouraAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-10-29JS Saoura2-2JS KabylieAlgeria Ligue 1

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match