FC Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia preview
In the upcoming match between FC Urartu and Ararat-Armenia, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Urartu at 51%, while Ararat-Armenia stands at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.71 for FC Urartu and 1.09 for Ararat-Armenia.
However, FC Urartu's recent form includes 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Ararat-Armenia has 4 wins in the same period. This disparity in form could influence the outcome, making the prediction less certain. Additionally, both teams to score sits at 56%, indicating a potential for goals from both sides, which could affect the match dynamics.
FC Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia: model vs market
| Source | FC Urartu | Draw | Ararat-Armenia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.28.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FC Urartu and Ararat-Armenia expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.02
- Attack rating (FC Urartu / Ararat-Armenia)
- 1.03 / 1.12
- Defence rating (FC Urartu / Ararat-Armenia)
- 0.95 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Urartu goals. Columns: Ararat-Armenia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Urartu | 47% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 | |
| Ararat-Armenia | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.65 |
| No | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Urartu or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Ararat-Armenia) | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Urartu win by 2+ | 26% | 3.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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FC Urartu and Ararat-Armenia recent form
FC Urartu
2W 2D 2L
Ararat-Armenia
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Urartu at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ararat-Armenia away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Urartu at home only, Ararat-Armenia away only.
FC Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: FC Urartu 0 · draws 1 · Ararat-Armenia 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Ararat-Armenia | 2-1 | FC Urartu | Armenia Premier League |
| 2026-05-03 | FC Urartu | 0-2 | Ararat-Armenia | Armenia Premier League |
| 2025-11-08 | Ararat-Armenia | 1-1 | FC Urartu | Armenia Premier League |
| 2025-09-14 | FC Urartu | 2-3 | Ararat-Armenia | Armenia Premier League |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Van v Pyunik Yerevan — match page 2026-11-06
- BKMA vs Alashkert 2026-11-06
- Sardarapat vs Ararat — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- FC Noah vs Shirak — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Syunik vs Gandzasar 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- FC Urartu, previous: Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu prediction
- Ararat-Armenia, previous: Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia prediction
- Ararat-Armenia, next: Red Bull Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia prediction