Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu preview
In the Armenia Premier League fixture between Pyunik Yerevan and FC Urartu, the 1X2 probabilities suggest a strong advantage for Pyunik Yerevan at 65%, compared to FC Urartu's 14%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 10% chance of occurring. Pyunik Yerevan has an expected goals figure of 2.22, while FC Urartu sits at 0.95, indicating a potential one-sided match.
However, the recent form shows Pyunik Yerevan has drawn twice in their last six matches, while FC Urartu has also drawn twice but lost twice. Both teams to score has a 56% probability, which could challenge the expected outcome if FC Urartu finds the net. The confidence grade is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu: model vs market
| Source | Pyunik Yerevan | Draw | FC Urartu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69% | 19% | 11% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 69% | 19% | 11% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Pyunik Yerevan and FC Urartu expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.18
- Attack rating (Pyunik Yerevan / FC Urartu)
- 1.53 / 1.12
- Defence rating (Pyunik Yerevan / FC Urartu)
- 0.65 / 0.99
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Pyunik Yerevan goals. Columns: FC Urartu goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyunik Yerevan | 69% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.19 | |
| FC Urartu | 11% | 8.73 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| No | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Pyunik Yerevan or draw) | 89% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Urartu) | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Handicap -1 | Pyunik Yerevan win by 2+ | 47% | 2.13 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Pyunik Yerevan and FC Urartu recent form
Pyunik Yerevan
4W 2D 0L
FC Urartu
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Pyunik Yerevan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.20
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Urartu away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Pyunik Yerevan at home only, FC Urartu away only.
Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Pyunik Yerevan 1 · draws 2 · FC Urartu 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | FC Urartu | 2-2 | Pyunik Yerevan | Armenia Premier League |
| 2026-04-23 | Pyunik Yerevan | 2-1 | FC Urartu | Armenia Premier League |
| 2025-11-21 | FC Urartu | 1-1 | Pyunik Yerevan | Armenia Premier League |
| 2025-08-29 | Pyunik Yerevan | 1-2 | FC Urartu | Armenia Premier League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Sardarapat vs Van — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Shirak vs BKMA 2026-10-31
- Ararat v Alashkert — match page 2026-10-31
- Syunik v FC Noah — match page 2026-11-01
- Ararat-Armenia vs Gandzasar — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Pyunik Yerevan, previous: Pyunik Yerevan v Gandzasar analysis
- FC Urartu, previous: Sardarapat vs FC Urartu: odds and pick