Syunik vs FC Noah preview
In the Armenia Premier League fixture between Syunik and FC Noah, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Noah at 65%, while Syunik sits at 15%. The most likely scoreline from our model predicts a 1-2 outcome, which aligns with FC Noah's expected goals of 2.38 compared to Syunik's 1.09.
The chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at 67%, and both teams to score is at 61%. However, Syunik's recent form, with only 1 win in their last 5 matches, could challenge these predictions. FC Noah's strong recent performance, with 5 wins in their last 6 games, suggests they are in better shape, but anything can happen in football.
Syunik vs FC Noah: model vs market
| Source | Syunik | Draw | FC Noah |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.38 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Syunik and FC Noah expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.47
- Attack rating (Syunik / FC Noah)
- 0.90 / 1.52
- Defence rating (Syunik / FC Noah)
- 1.33 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Syunik vs FC Noah score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Syunik goals. Columns: FC Noah goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Syunik vs FC Noah goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Syunik vs FC Noah
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Syunik | 15% | 6.62 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.04 | |
| FC Noah | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.07 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| No | 39% | 2.57 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Syunik or draw) | 35% | 2.86 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Noah) | 85% | 1.18 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Noah win by 2+ | 44% | 2.29 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Syunik and FC Noah recent form
Syunik
2W 1D 3L
FC Noah
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Syunik at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
FC Noah away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 9 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game on the road against 2.3 at home.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Syunik at home only, FC Noah away only.
Syunik vs FC Noah head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Syunik 0 · draws 0 · FC Noah 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | FC Noah | 3-0 | Syunik | Armenia Premier League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Sardarapat vs Van — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu 2026-10-30
- Shirak vs BKMA 2026-10-31
- Ararat v Alashkert — match page 2026-10-31
- Ararat-Armenia vs Gandzasar — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Syunik, previous: Syunik v BKMA analysis
- FC Noah, previous: Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah: odds and pick