Syunik vs Gandzasar preview
In the Armenia Premier League fixture between Syunik and Gandzasar, the 1X2 probabilities show Syunik at 64% to win, while Gandzasar has a 15% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, which aligns with expected goals of 2.16 for Syunik and 0.98 for Gandzasar.
Gandzasar is struggling, having lost their last 6 matches, while Syunik's recent form includes 3 losses in their last 6 games. This context could affect the match outcome, as both teams to score sits at 56%, indicating a possibility that Gandzasar might find the net despite their poor form. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Syunik vs Gandzasar: model vs market
| Source | Syunik | Draw | Gandzasar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66% | 21% | 13% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 66% | 21% | 13% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Syunik and Gandzasar expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.08
- Attack rating (Syunik / Gandzasar)
- 0.88 / 0.53
- Defence rating (Syunik / Gandzasar)
- 1.41 / 1.62
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Syunik vs Gandzasar score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Syunik goals. Columns: Gandzasar goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Syunik vs Gandzasar goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Syunik vs Gandzasar
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Syunik | 66% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.78 | |
| Gandzasar | 13% | 7.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.87 |
| No | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Syunik or draw) | 87% | 1.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Gandzasar) | 34% | 2.92 | |
| Handicap -1 | Syunik win by 2+ | 43% | 2.33 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Syunik and Gandzasar recent form
Syunik
2W 0D 4L
Gandzasar
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Syunik at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gandzasar away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 11 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Syunik at home only, Gandzasar away only.
Syunik vs Gandzasar head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Syunik 0 · draws 0 · Gandzasar 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Gandzasar | 3-1 | Syunik | Armenia Premier League |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Van v Pyunik Yerevan — match page 2026-11-06
- BKMA vs Alashkert 2026-11-06
- Sardarapat vs Ararat — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- FC Noah vs Shirak — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- FC Urartu v Ararat-Armenia — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Syunik, previous: Syunik vs FC Noah prediction
- Gandzasar, previous: Ararat-Armenia v Gandzasar analysis