Sardarapat vs Van preview
In the Armenia Premier League fixture between Sardarapat and Van, the 1X2 probabilities show Sardarapat at 60%, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 (10%). The model also indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 61%.
However, Sardarapat's recent form includes three draws and two losses in their last six matches, which could impact their performance. Van has been inconsistent, winning only 3 of their last 6 games. This could lead to a different outcome than expected, especially given the confidence grade of C.
Sardarapat vs Van: model vs market
| Source | Sardarapat | Draw | Van |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.14.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sardarapat and Van expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.31
- Attack rating (Sardarapat / Van)
- 0.99 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Sardarapat / Van)
- 1.16 / 1.43
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sardarapat vs Van score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sardarapat goals. Columns: Van goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sardarapat vs Van goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sardarapat vs Van
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sardarapat | 60% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.58 | |
| Van | 18% | 5.53 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| No | 39% | 2.57 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sardarapat or draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Van) | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sardarapat win by 2+ | 38% | 2.62 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sardarapat and Van recent form
Sardarapat
1W 3D 2L
Van
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sardarapat at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Van away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 3.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sardarapat at home only, Van away only.
Sardarapat vs Van head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Sardarapat 1 · draws 0 · Van 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Van | 1-4 | Sardarapat | Armenia Premier League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu 2026-10-30
- Shirak vs BKMA 2026-10-31
- Ararat v Alashkert — match page 2026-10-31
- Syunik v FC Noah — match page 2026-11-01
- Ararat-Armenia vs Gandzasar — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Sardarapat, previous: Sardarapat vs FC Urartu: odds and pick
- Van, previous: Van – Ararat, 2026-10-23