Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA Prediction & Betting Tips 12/10/2026

Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Pyunik Yerevan	Draw	BKMA
Model	58%	25%	17%
Market	—	—	—
Published	58%	25%	17%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.91.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Pyunik Yerevan and BKMA expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.83Pyunik Yerevan

0.91BKMA

Total expected goals: 2.74
Attack rating (Pyunik Yerevan / BKMA): 1.23 / 0.90
Defence rating (Pyunik Yerevan / BKMA): 0.85 / 1.01

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.5% 4.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 1 10.7% 11.8% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4% 2 10.8% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4% 3 6.6% 6.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 4+ 4.6% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%

Rows: Pyunik Yerevan goals. Columns: BKMA goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%

Over 1.5 77%

Over 2.5 52%

Over 3.5 30%

Both teams to score: 51%
No goals (0–0): 8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Pyunik Yerevan	58%	1.72
	Draw	25%	4.04
	BKMA	17%	5.79
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52%	1.93
	Under 2.5	48%	2.07
Both teams to score	Yes	51%	1.95
	No	49%	2.05
Double chance	1X (Pyunik Yerevan or draw)	83%	1.21
	12 (either side)	75%	1.33
	X2 (draw or BKMA)	42%	2.38
Handicap -1	Pyunik Yerevan win by 2+	34%	2.92
	Push (exactly one goal)	24%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Pyunik Yerevan and BKMA recent form

Pyunik Yerevan 3W 2D 1L

BKMA 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Pyunik Yerevan at home

Record (W-D-L): 3-0-1
Win rate: 75%
Goals for / match: 2.25
Goals against / match: 1.25
Clean sheets: 2 of 4

They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

BKMA away

Record (W-D-L): 1-0-2
Win rate: 33%
Goals for / match: 1.33
Goals against / match: 1.67
Clean sheets: 1 of 3

They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Pyunik Yerevan at home only, BKMA away only.

Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Pyunik Yerevan 3 · draws 0 · BKMA 0.

100% 0% 0%

Pyunik YerevanDrawsBKMA

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2026-05-09	Pyunik Yerevan	2-0	BKMA	Armenia Premier League
2025-11-02	BKMA	1-2	Pyunik Yerevan	Armenia Premier League
2025-09-20	Pyunik Yerevan	2-1	BKMA	Armenia Premier League

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Prediction snapshot Pyunik Yerevan to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on Pyunik Yerevan