Syunik vs Shirak: model vs market
| Source | Syunik | Draw | Shirak |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 31% | 46% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 23% | 31% | 46% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Syunik and Shirak expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.17
- Attack rating (Syunik / Shirak)
- 0.54 / 0.85
- Defence rating (Syunik / Shirak)
- 1.30 / 1.07
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Syunik vs Shirak score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Syunik goals. Columns: Shirak goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Syunik vs Shirak goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Syunik vs Shirak
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Syunik | 23% | 4.37 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.24 | |
| Shirak | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.31 |
| No | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Syunik or draw) | 54% | 1.86 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or Shirak) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | Shirak win by 2+ | 22% | 4.48 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Syunik and Shirak recent form
Syunik
0W 2D 4L
Shirak
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Syunik at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Shirak away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Syunik at home only, Shirak away only.
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