Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels preview
Austria Vienna (Am) has a 56% chance to win against WSPG Wels, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 at 10%. The model suggests a high probability for Over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 64%. Austria Vienna (Am) has shown some inconsistency in recent form with three wins and three losses, while WSPG Wels has struggled, recording one win in their last six matches.
While the numbers favor Austria Vienna (Am), a draw is still possible with a 22% probability. WSPG Wels could also surprise, as they have not lost to Austria Vienna (Am) in their last two meetings. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.
Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels: model vs market
| Source | Austria Vienna (Am) | Draw | WSPG Wels |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 22% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 56% | 22% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 1.27.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Austria Vienna (Am) and WSPG Wels expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.42
- Attack rating (Austria Vienna (Am) / WSPG Wels)
- 1.13 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Austria Vienna (Am) / WSPG Wels)
- 1.08 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Austria Vienna (Am) goals. Columns: WSPG Wels goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 56% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.48 | |
| WSPG Wels | 21% | 4.71 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.55 |
| No | 36% | 2.81 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Austria Vienna (Am) or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or WSPG Wels) | 44% | 2.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | Austria Vienna (Am) win by 2+ | 35% | 2.84 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Austria Vienna (Am) and WSPG Wels recent form
Austria Vienna (Am)
4W 0D 2L
WSPG Wels
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Austria Vienna (Am) at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
WSPG Wels away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Austria Vienna (Am) at home only, WSPG Wels away only.
Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Austria Vienna (Am) 2 · draws 0 · WSPG Wels 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 1-0 | WSPG Wels | 2. Liga |
| 2025-08-29 | WSPG Wels | 0-1 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 2. Liga |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II 2026-10-16
- Voitsberg vs First Vienna 2026-10-16
- Wacker Innsbruck v Austria Salzburg — match page 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- Austria Vienna (Am), previous: SV Kapfenberg – Austria Vienna (Am), 2026-10-09
- WSPG Wels, previous: WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz: odds and pick