SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II preview
In the match between SKN St. Polten and Rapid Wien II, the 1X2 probabilities show SKN St. Polten at 55%, while Rapid Wien II sits at 19%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 11%. SKN St. Polten has a higher expected goals figure of 1.73 compared to Rapid Wien II's 0.92, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, the recent form could impact the outcome. SKN St. Polten's last six matches include three losses, while Rapid Wien II has lost five of their last six. Both teams to score stands at 51%, suggesting a possibility for goals from both sides. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the prediction.
SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II: model vs market
| Source | SKN ST. Polten | Draw | Rapid Wien II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
SKN ST. Polten and Rapid Wien II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.65
- Attack rating (SKN ST. Polten / Rapid Wien II)
- 0.79 / 0.82
- Defence rating (SKN ST. Polten / Rapid Wien II)
- 0.88 / 1.45
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SKN ST. Polten goals. Columns: Rapid Wien II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SKN ST. Polten | 55% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.85 | |
| Rapid Wien II | 19% | 5.31 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.98 |
| No | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SKN ST. Polten or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Rapid Wien II) | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Handicap -1 | SKN ST. Polten win by 2+ | 31% | 3.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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SKN ST. Polten and Rapid Wien II recent form
SKN ST. Polten
3W 0D 3L
Rapid Wien II
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SKN ST. Polten at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rapid Wien II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: SKN ST. Polten at home only, Rapid Wien II away only.
SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: SKN ST. Polten 2 · draws 0 · Rapid Wien II 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | SKN ST. Polten | 4-0 | Rapid Wien II | 2. Liga |
| 2025-08-30 | Rapid Wien II | 0-2 | SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Voitsberg vs First Vienna 2026-10-16
- Wacker Innsbruck v Austria Salzburg — match page 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- SKN ST. Polten, previous: First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten: odds and pick
- Rapid Wien II, previous: Rapid Wien II v Wacker Innsbruck analysis