Voitsberg vs First Vienna preview
In the 2. Liga fixture, Voitsberg faces First Vienna, with 1X2 probabilities showing Voitsberg at 16%, a draw at 21%, and First Vienna at 63%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a 10% probability.
First Vienna is in strong recent form, winning 6 matches in a row, while Voitsberg has struggled with 1 win in their last 6 games. The model predicts Over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 61%. Voitsberg has expected goals of 1.10, while First Vienna has a significantly higher 2.29, indicating potential challenges for Voitsberg's defense.
Voitsberg vs First Vienna: model vs market
| Source | Voitsberg | Draw | First Vienna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16% | 21% | 63% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 16% | 21% | 63% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Voitsberg and First Vienna expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.39
- Attack rating (Voitsberg / First Vienna)
- 1.16 / 1.36
- Defence rating (Voitsberg / First Vienna)
- 1.30 / 0.63
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Voitsberg vs First Vienna score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Voitsberg goals. Columns: First Vienna goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Voitsberg vs First Vienna goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Voitsberg vs First Vienna
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Voitsberg | 16% | 6.16 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.83 | |
| First Vienna | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| No | 39% | 2.56 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Voitsberg or draw) | 37% | 2.71 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or First Vienna) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| Handicap -1 | First Vienna win by 2+ | 41% | 2.42 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Voitsberg and First Vienna recent form
Voitsberg
1W 2D 3L
First Vienna
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Voitsberg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
First Vienna away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Voitsberg at home only, First Vienna away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II 2026-10-16
- Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Wacker Innsbruck v Austria Salzburg — match page 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- Voitsberg, previous: Admira Wacker vs Voitsberg prediction
- First Vienna, previous: First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten: odds and pick