Admira Wacker vs Voitsberg: model vs market
| Source | Admira Wacker | Draw | Voitsberg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 28% | 32% |
| Market | 34% | 25% | 40% |
| Published | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Edge | +5% | +3% | -8% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.35, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Admira Wacker vs Voitsberg odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Voitsberg, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Admira Wacker | 2.70 | 2.68 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 3.67 | 3.64 | -0.03 |
| Voitsberg | 2.27 | 2.27 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Admira Wacker and Voitsberg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.70
- Attack rating (Admira Wacker / Voitsberg)
- 0.72 / 1.16
- Defence rating (Admira Wacker / Voitsberg)
- 0.85 / 1.30
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Admira Wacker vs Voitsberg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Admira Wacker goals. Columns: Voitsberg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Admira Wacker vs Voitsberg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Admira Wacker vs Voitsberg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Admira Wacker | 36% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.85 | |
| Voitsberg | 38% | 2.60 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.02 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.79 |
| No | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Admira Wacker or draw) | 62% | 1.63 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Voitsberg) | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Handicap -1 | Voitsberg win by 2+ | 15% | 6.86 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Admira Wacker and Voitsberg recent form
Admira Wacker
3W 0D 3L
Voitsberg
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Admira Wacker at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
Voitsberg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: Admira Wacker at home only, Voitsberg away only.
Admira Wacker vs Voitsberg head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Admira Wacker 1 · draws 0 · Voitsberg 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-26 | Voitsberg | 1-4 | Admira Wacker | Austria Cup |
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