2. Liga · Matchday 8

Austria Salzburg vs Floridsdorfer AC

· Max-Aicher-Stadion, Salzburg

Alin prediction Floridsdorfer AC to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Austria SalzburgDrawFloridsdorfer AC

Austria Salzburg vs Floridsdorfer AC preview

Austria Salzburg faces Floridsdorfer AC in the 2. Liga with a model 1X2 probability of 32% for Austria Salzburg, 25% for a draw, and 43% for Floridsdorfer AC. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a probability of 9%. The match could see Over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 65%, indicating a potential for an open game.

Austria Salzburg's recent form shows L-D-L-L-W-L, while Floridsdorfer AC has W-L-D-W-W-D. The expected goals are 1.49 for Austria Salzburg and 1.76 for Floridsdorfer AC. The confidence grade is C, meaning these probabilities are based solely on the model and may not account for all factors affecting the match outcome.

Austria Salzburg vs Floridsdorfer AC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAustria SalzburgDrawFloridsdorfer AC
Model32%25%43%
Market———
Published32%25%43%
Edge———
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Austria Salzburg and Floridsdorfer AC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.49Austria Salzburg
1.76Floridsdorfer AC
Total expected goals
3.26
Attack rating (Austria Salzburg / Floridsdorfer AC)
1.18 / 1.15
Defence rating (Austria Salzburg / Floridsdorfer AC)
1.19 / 0.84

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Austria Salzburg vs Floridsdorfer AC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.9% 5.8% 6.0% 3.5% 2.3% 1 4.7% 11.2% 8.9% 5.3% 3.5% 2 4.3% 7.6% 6.7% 3.9% 2.6% 3 2.1% 3.8% 3.3% 2.0% 1.3% 4+ 1.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.7%

Rows: Austria Salzburg goals. Columns: Floridsdorfer AC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Austria Salzburg vs Floridsdorfer AC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 63%
Over 3.5 41%
Both teams to score
65%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Austria Salzburg vs Floridsdorfer AC

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Austria Salzburg32%3.15
Draw25%4.00
Floridsdorfer AC43%2.31
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563%1.58
Under 2.537%2.72
Both teams to scoreYes65%1.53
No35%2.88
Double chance1X (Austria Salzburg or draw)57%1.76
12 (either side)75%1.33
X2 (draw or Floridsdorfer AC)68%1.47
Handicap -1Floridsdorfer AC win by 2+24%4.24
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Austria Salzburg and Floridsdorfer AC recent form

Austria Salzburg 1W 1D 4L
Floridsdorfer AC 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Austria Salzburg at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
3.33
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Floridsdorfer AC away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
2.67
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Austria Salzburg at home only, Floridsdorfer AC away only.

Austria Salzburg vs Floridsdorfer AC head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Austria Salzburg 1 · draws 0 · Floridsdorfer AC 1.

Austria SalzburgDrawsFloridsdorfer AC
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-28Austria Salzburg0-1Floridsdorfer AC2. Liga
2025-08-23Floridsdorfer AC1-2Austria Salzburg2. Liga

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Prediction snapshot Floridsdorfer AC to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Floridsdorfer AC