SKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz preview
SKU Amstetten hosts FC BW Linz with a 51% probability for an away win. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which reflects FC BW Linz's stronger expected goals at 2.19 compared to SKU Amstetten's 1.46. With 71% for Over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, there is a good chance of an exciting match.
However, SKU Amstetten has shown resilience with three wins in their last six matches. Their recent form includes two draws, which could impact the outcome. The head-to-head record also favors FC BW Linz, who have won six of the last ten encounters. This context could lead to a different result than the probabilities suggest.
SKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz: model vs market
| Source | SKU Amstetten | Draw | FC BW Linz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| Market | 26% | 25% | 50% |
| Published | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| Edge | -1% | -3% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.46.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC BW Linz below the model: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.86, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
SKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC BW Linz, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SKU Amstetten | 3.62 | 3.61 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.75 | +0.00 |
| FC BW Linz | 1.85 | 1.85 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SKU Amstetten and FC BW Linz expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.66
- Attack rating (SKU Amstetten / FC BW Linz)
- 1.22 / 1.53
- Defence rating (SKU Amstetten / FC BW Linz)
- 1.11 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SKU Amstetten goals. Columns: FC BW Linz goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SKU Amstetten | 25% | 3.95 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.17 | |
| FC BW Linz | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.45 |
| No | 31% | 3.24 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SKU Amstetten or draw) | 49% | 2.03 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or FC BW Linz) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC BW Linz win by 2+ | 33% | 3.02 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SKU Amstetten and FC BW Linz recent form
SKU Amstetten
3W 2D 1L
FC BW Linz
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SKU Amstetten at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
FC BW Linz away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: SKU Amstetten at home only, FC BW Linz away only.
SKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: SKU Amstetten 3 · draws 1 · FC BW Linz 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-15 | FC BW Linz | 2-0 | SKU Amstetten | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-07-08 | SKU Amstetten | 1-1 | FC BW Linz | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-03-19 | FC BW Linz | 2-1 | SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
| 2022-09-03 | SKU Amstetten | 1-0 | FC BW Linz | 2. Liga |
| 2022-08-31 | SKU Amstetten | 0-3 | FC BW Linz | Cup |
| 2022-04-08 | FC BW Linz | 5-2 | SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
| 2021-09-17 | SKU Amstetten | 1-0 | FC BW Linz | 2. Liga |
| 2021-04-20 | SKU Amstetten | 0-2 | FC BW Linz | 2. Liga |
| 2020-09-29 | FC BW Linz | 2-0 | SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
| 2020-07-21 | FC BW Linz | 1-2 | SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
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