WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz preview
WSPG Wels hosts Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz with the market showing a 44% chance of an away win. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with both teams to score at 64% and Over 2.5 goals at 62%. WSPG Wels has struggled recently, recording two losses and one draw in their last six matches. In contrast, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz has shown better form, winning two of their last six.
WSPG Wels has won once in their last two head-to-head encounters, while Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz has yet to secure a victory. The expected goals suggest a close match, with WSPG Wels at 1.45 and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz at 1.76. A draw is also possible, given the 26% chance.
WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz: model vs market
| Source | WSPG Wels | Draw | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| Market | 30% | 26% | 44% |
| Published | 30% | 26% | 44% |
| Edge | +1% | -1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.45.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| WSPG Wels | 3.08 | 3.09 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 3.56 | 3.55 | -0.01 |
| Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2.07 | 2.08 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
WSPG Wels and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.20
- Attack rating (WSPG Wels / Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz)
- 0.92 / 1.09
- Defence rating (WSPG Wels / Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz)
- 1.25 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: WSPG Wels goals. Columns: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | WSPG Wels | 30% | 3.33 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.89 | |
| Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.55 |
| No | 36% | 2.80 | |
| Double chance | 1X (WSPG Wels or draw) | 56% | 1.79 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| Handicap -1 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz win by 2+ | 24% | 4.16 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
WSPG Wels and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz recent form
WSPG Wels
1W 1D 4L
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
WSPG Wels at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: WSPG Wels at home only, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz away only.
WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: WSPG Wels 1 · draws 1 · Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2-3 | WSPG Wels | 2. Liga |
| 2025-11-01 | WSPG Wels | 1-1 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2. Liga |
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