Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck preview
In the upcoming match between Rapid Wien II and Wacker Innsbruck, the key number is Wacker Innsbruck's 50% probability to win according to the model. This suggests they are the stronger side, especially given their expected goals of 2.02 compared to Rapid Wien II's 1.13. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, indicating a close contest.
However, Rapid Wien II could disrupt this prediction. They have shown some potential with a recent win, and their home advantage might play a role. Both teams to score stands at 60%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 61%, suggesting that an open game is possible. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck: model vs market
| Source | Rapid Wien II | Draw | Wacker Innsbruck |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| Market | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| Published | 26% | 24% | 50% |
| Edge | -8% | -1% | +9% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Wacker Innsbruck below the model: +9.2 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.96, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Wacker Innsbruck, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rapid Wien II | 3.35 | 3.31 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.75 | +0.00 |
| Wacker Innsbruck | 1.91 | 1.92 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Rapid Wien II and Wacker Innsbruck expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.15
- Attack rating (Rapid Wien II / Wacker Innsbruck)
- 0.81 / 1.08
- Defence rating (Rapid Wien II / Wacker Innsbruck)
- 1.45 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rapid Wien II goals. Columns: Wacker Innsbruck goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rapid Wien II | 26% | 3.89 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.14 | |
| Wacker Innsbruck | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.68 |
| No | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rapid Wien II or draw) | 50% | 2.00 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Wacker Innsbruck) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Handicap -1 | Wacker Innsbruck win by 2+ | 35% | 2.87 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Rapid Wien II and Wacker Innsbruck recent form
Rapid Wien II
1W 0D 5L
Wacker Innsbruck
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Rapid Wien II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
Wacker Innsbruck away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Rapid Wien II at home only, Wacker Innsbruck away only.
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