KAA Gent II vs Seraing United: model vs market
| Source | KAA Gent II | Draw | Seraing United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Published | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Edge | -6% | +1% | +5% |
- The market prices Seraing United below the model: +5.2 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.57, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
KAA Gent II vs Seraing United odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Seraing United, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| KAA Gent II | 2.42 | 2.42 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.51 | -0.09 |
| Seraing United | 2.49 | 2.45 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
KAA Gent II and Seraing United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.01
- Attack rating (KAA Gent II / Seraing United)
- 0.88 / 0.94
- Defence rating (KAA Gent II / Seraing United)
- 1.27 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
KAA Gent II vs Seraing United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: KAA Gent II goals. Columns: Seraing United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
KAA Gent II vs Seraing United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for KAA Gent II vs Seraing United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KAA Gent II | 36% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 | |
| Seraing United | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| No | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Double chance | 1X (KAA Gent II or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Seraing United) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Seraing United win by 2+ | 22% | 4.53 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
KAA Gent II and Seraing United recent form
KAA Gent II
1W 3D 2L
Seraing United
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
KAA Gent II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
Seraing United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: KAA Gent II at home only, Seraing United away only.
KAA Gent II vs Seraing United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: KAA Gent II 2 · draws 0 · Seraing United 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 | KAA Gent II | 3-1 | Seraing United | Challenger Pro League |
| 2025-09-20 | Seraing United | 0-2 | KAA Gent II | Challenger Pro League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Dender vs Club Brugge II — team news & stats 2026-10-09
- RSC Anderlecht II vs AS Eupen — team news & stats 2026-10-09
- Excelsior Virton v Sporting Hasselt — match page 2026-10-10
- K. Lierse S.K. vs Francs Borains 2026-10-10
- Beerschot VA vs Liège 2026-10-10
- Patro Eisden v KRC Genk II — match page 2026-10-11