Challenger Pro League · Matchday 7

Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II

· Patrostadion, Maasmechelen

Alin prediction Patro Eisden to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Patro EisdenDrawKRC Genk II
Best market odds
Patro Eisden1.78 Draw4.13 KRC Genk II4.04
Bet on Patro Eisden

Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePatro EisdenDrawKRC Genk II
Model33%23%44%
Market54%24%23%
Published48%24%28%
Edge-21%0%+21%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.

Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Patro Eisden, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.

Opened 1.72Now 1.69 -0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Patro Eisden1.721.69-0.03
Draw4.093.85-0.24
KRC Genk II4.083.98-0.10

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Patro Eisden and KRC Genk II expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.66Patro Eisden
1.94KRC Genk II
Total expected goals
3.60
Attack rating (Patro Eisden / KRC Genk II)
0.88 / 1.16
Defence rating (Patro Eisden / KRC Genk II)
1.22 / 1.27

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.6% 4.4% 5.1% 3.3% 2.5% 1 3.6% 9.7% 8.5% 5.5% 4.2% 2 3.8% 7.3% 7.1% 4.6% 3.5% 3 2.1% 4.0% 3.9% 2.5% 1.9% 4+ 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.5% 1.2%

Rows: Patro Eisden goals. Columns: KRC Genk II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 88%
Over 2.5 70%
Over 3.5 49%
Both teams to score
70%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Patro Eisden48%2.07
Draw24%4.25
KRC Genk II28%3.56
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570%1.43
Under 2.530%3.31
Both teams to scoreYes70%1.42
No30%3.36
Double chance1X (Patro Eisden or draw)72%1.39
12 (either side)76%1.31
X2 (draw or KRC Genk II)52%1.94
Handicap -1Patro Eisden win by 2+16%6.09
Push (exactly one goal)16%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Patro Eisden and KRC Genk II recent form

Patro Eisden 1W 0D 5L
KRC Genk II 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Patro Eisden at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

KRC Genk II away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
3.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Patro Eisden at home only, KRC Genk II away only.

Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Patro Eisden 1 · draws 1 · KRC Genk II 0.

Patro EisdenDrawsKRC Genk II
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-06Patro Eisden4-4KRC Genk IIChallenger Pro League
2025-09-26KRC Genk II1-4Patro EisdenChallenger Pro League

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Prediction snapshot Patro Eisden to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Patro Eisden